Wolves at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

12.4%19.2%68.4%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.10
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+370
L 0-3 at Chelsea+760
L 0-3 at Fulham+375
L 3-2 vs Burnley-105
L 0-2 at Sunderland+212
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Leeds United+150
W 0-4 vs Bournemouth+130
L 0-2 at Liverpool+390
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+335
W 2-1 at Tottenham+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+500-+600+580+580+580+600+603.8
Aston Villa-206--220-200-200-200-200-181.0
Draw+360-+345+352+352+352+352+367.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+510-+569+520+515+565+569+603.8
Aston Villa-195--208-225-230-205-205-181.0
Draw+345-+350+340+335+340+350+367.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +590 to +580
Aston Villa ML moved from -205 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +525 to +515
Aston Villa ML moved from -210 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o2¾+102o2¾+101o2¾+104o2¾+101o2¾+104o2¾+108
Underu2½+102-u2¾-122u2¾-117u2¾-120u2¾-117u2¾-117u2¾-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-130o2½-125o2½-120o2½-125o2½-140o2½-120o2¾+108
Underu2½+100u2½+110u2½+105u2½+100u2½-105u2½+120u2½+120u2¾-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.69%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 416.01%
Exactly 64.39%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.31%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.18%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 046.59%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.59%
Exactly 33.46%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 012.21%
Exactly 125.67%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.93%
Exactly 49.95%
Exactly 54.19%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.52%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 43.43%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 310.34%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 070.22%
Exactly 124.83%
Exactly 24.39%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.91%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals3.48%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals43.84%
Wins by 3+ goals23.02%
Wins by 4+ goals10.04%
Wins by 5+ goals3.69%
Wins by 6+ goals1.16%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal8.90%
Wins by 2 goals2.74%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals20.82%
Wins by 3 goals12.98%
Wins by 4 goals6.34%
Wins by 5 goals2.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.86%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.31%5.69%
1.578.01%21.99%
2.554.63%45.37%
3.532.30%67.70%
4.516.29%83.71%
5.57.11%92.89%
6.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.41%46.59%
1.517.82%82.18%
2.54.23%95.77%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.79%12.21%
1.562.12%37.88%
2.535.12%64.88%
3.516.20%83.80%
4.56.24%93.76%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.48%26.52%
1.538.28%61.72%
2.514.92%85.08%
3.54.59%95.41%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.69%
11.96%
12.58%
8.82%
4.64%
1.95%
1
4.34%
9.14%
9.61%
6.73%
3.54%
1.49%
2
1.66%
3.49%
3.67%
2.57%
1.35%
0.57%
3
0.42%
0.89%
0.93%
0.65%
0.34%
0.14%
Wolverhampton
1-04.34%
2-01.66%
2-13.49%
3-00.42%
3-10.89%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-05.69%
1-19.14%
2-23.67%
3-30.65%
Aston Villa
0-111.96%
0-212.58%
1-29.61%
0-38.82%
1-36.73%
2-32.57%
0-44.64%
1-43.54%
2-41.35%
3-40.34%
0-51.95%
1-51.49%
2-50.57%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
26.52%
25.82%
12.57%
4.08%
0.99%
0.19%
1
9.38%
9.13%
4.45%
1.44%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.66%
1.61%
0.79%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Wolverhampton
1-09.38%
2-01.66%
2-11.61%
3-00.20%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-026.52%
1-19.13%
2-20.79%
Aston Villa
0-125.82%
0-212.57%
1-24.45%
0-34.08%
1-31.44%
2-30.26%
0-40.99%
1-40.35%
0-50.19%