Arsenal at Chelsea

Updated

Arsenal

34.2%28.2%37.7%
Arsenal WinDrawChelsea Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Tottenham-210
T 2-2 at Sunderland-220
W 2-0 at Burnley-400
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace-260
W 1-0 at Fulham-200
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-0 at Burnley-175
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-275
W 1-0 at Tottenham+136
L 2-1 vs Sunderland-235
W 3-0 at Nottingham Forest+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+117-+149+150+143+150+150+159.0
Chelsea+245-+205+214+225+214+225+225.3
Draw+230-+205+215+217+215+217+226.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+120-+150+140+120+125+150+159.0
Chelsea+235-+215+200+220+235+220+225.3
Draw+235-+209+200+210+225+210+226.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML
Chelsea ML moved from +225 to +214

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML
Chelsea ML moved from +230 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2¼-125o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-110
Underu2½-115-u2¼+105u2¼+103u2¼+103u2¼+103u2¼+105u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+125o2½+115o2½+110o2½+110o2½+115o2½+125o2¼-110
Underu2½-115u2½-145u2½-135u2½-130u2½-140u2½-135u2½-130u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-113 to u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.77%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.91%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.72%
Exactly 320.49%
Exactly 55.54%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 032.38%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 030.17%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.06%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 059.33%
Exactly 130.98%
Exactly 28.09%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 057.42%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 28.84%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals13.74%
Wins by 3+ goals4.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals16.02%
Wins by 3+ goals5.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal20.34%
Wins by 2 goals9.52%
Wins by 3 goals3.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal21.61%
Wins by 2 goals10.76%
Wins by 3 goals3.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.23%9.77%
1.567.51%32.49%
2.541.08%58.92%
3.520.60%79.40%
4.58.68%91.32%
5.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.62%32.38%
1.531.11%68.89%
2.510.52%89.48%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.83%30.17%
1.533.68%66.32%
2.512.01%87.99%
3.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.94%34.06%
1.529.25%70.75%
2.59.50%90.50%
3.52.41%97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Chelsea
Score012345
0
9.77%
11.71%
7.01%
2.80%
0.84%
0.20%
1
11.02%
13.20%
7.91%
3.16%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.21%
7.44%
4.46%
1.78%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.33%
2.80%
1.68%
0.67%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.66%
0.79%
0.47%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-011.02%
2-06.21%
2-17.44%
3-02.33%
3-12.80%
3-21.68%
4-00.66%
4-10.79%
4-20.47%
4-30.19%
5-00.15%
5-10.18%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.77%
1-113.20%
2-24.46%
3-30.67%
Chelsea
0-111.71%
0-27.01%
1-27.91%
0-32.80%
1-33.16%
2-31.78%
0-40.84%
1-40.95%
2-40.53%
3-40.20%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Chelsea
Score01234
0
34.06%
18.90%
5.24%
0.97%
0.13%
1
17.79%
9.87%
2.74%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.64%
2.58%
0.71%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.81%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-017.79%
2-04.64%
2-12.58%
3-00.81%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.06%
1-19.87%
2-20.71%
Chelsea
0-118.90%
0-25.24%
1-22.74%
0-30.97%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%