Newcastle Utd at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Newcastle United

52.3%25.3%22.5%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
1.57Projected Goals 0.94
3Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 4-4 vs Luton Town-195
W 3-1 at Aston Villa+295
L 3-2 vs Manchester City+410
L 2-4 at Liverpool+665
L 3-1 vs Nottingham Forest-240
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bournemouth+375
L 2-1 vs Arsenal+750
L 2-3 at Brentford+360
W 1-2 vs Manchester United+220
W 3-1 at Newcastle United+690

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-105+117+110+111+114+111+117+118.5
Nott'ham Forest+285+221+220+233+228+233+233+244.8
Draw+280+274+285+283+281+283+285+296.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+105-+112--105+115+115+118.5
Nott'ham Forest+240-+222-+210+220+222+244.8
Draw+270-+270-+240+265+270+296.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +225 to +218

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +230 to +215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-104o3+101o3+102o3+104o3+104o3+104o3+104o3+111
Underu2¾-112u3-119u3-122u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-119u3-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+110o3-103-o3-105o3+100o3+110o3+111
Underu2½+115u3-130u3-117-u3-125u3-120u3-117u3-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-114 to o3-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.10%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 413.47%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.35%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.77%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 020.69%
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 313.49%
Exactly 45.31%
Exactly 51.67%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 039.15%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.22%
Exactly 35.38%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.23%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 048.21%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 212.83%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 064.78%
Exactly 128.13%
Exactly 26.11%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals27.32%
Wins by 3+ goals11.30%
Wins by 4+ goals3.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.99%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals7.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals16.02%
Wins by 3 goals7.54%
Wins by 4 goals2.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal14.77%
Wins by 2 goals5.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.90%8.10%
1.571.55%28.45%
2.545.97%54.03%
3.524.53%75.47%
4.511.06%88.94%
5.54.29%95.71%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.31%20.69%
1.546.72%53.28%
2.521.04%78.96%
3.57.55%92.45%
4.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.85%39.15%
1.524.14%75.86%
2.56.92%93.08%
3.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.77%31.23%
1.532.42%67.58%
2.511.28%88.72%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
8.10%
7.59%
3.56%
1.11%
0.26%
1
12.76%
11.97%
5.61%
1.75%
0.41%
2
10.05%
9.43%
4.42%
1.38%
0.32%
3
5.28%
4.95%
2.32%
0.73%
0.17%
4
2.08%
1.95%
0.91%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.66%
0.61%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
Newcastle United
1-012.76%
2-010.05%
2-19.43%
3-05.28%
3-14.95%
3-22.32%
4-02.08%
4-11.95%
4-20.91%
4-30.29%
5-00.66%
5-10.61%
5-20.29%
Draw
0-08.10%
1-111.97%
2-24.42%
3-30.73%
Nottingham Forest
0-17.59%
0-23.56%
1-25.61%
0-31.11%
1-31.75%
2-31.38%
0-40.26%
1-40.41%
2-40.32%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
31.23%
13.56%
2.94%
0.43%
1
22.78%
9.89%
2.15%
0.31%
2
8.31%
3.61%
0.78%
0.11%
3
2.02%
0.88%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.37%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-022.78%
2-08.31%
2-13.61%
3-02.02%
3-10.88%
3-20.19%
4-00.37%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.23%
1-19.89%
2-20.78%
Nottingham Forest
0-113.56%
0-22.94%
1-22.15%
0-30.43%
1-30.31%
2-30.11%