Tottenham at Aston Villa

Updated

Tottenham

37.5%26.7%35.8%
Tottenham WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.26
4Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Tottenham
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Crystal Palace-198
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton-180
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-134
T 2-2 at Everton+115
W 2-3 vs Brentford-170
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 3-2 at Luton Town-145
W 2-4 vs Nottingham Forest-177
W 2-1 at Fulham+133
L 2-1 vs Manchester United+112
W 5-0 at Sheffield United-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tottenham+170+158+155+168+167+168+168+177.4
Aston Villa+130+150+145+147+144+147+150+155.7
Draw+300+295+300+289+300+289+300+302.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tottenham+165-+157+150+155+155+155+177.4
Aston Villa+140-+140+140+115+155+155+155.7
Draw+290-+296+285+275+275+296+302.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tottenham: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tottenham: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tottenham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tottenham ML moved from +159 to +148
Aston Villa ML moved from +159 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tottenham: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tottenham: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tottenham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tottenham ML moved from +160 to +150
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-122o3½-108o3½-108o3½-105o3½-101o3½-105o3½-101o3½+103
Underu3¼+102u3½-108u3½-112u3½-111u3½-115u3½-111u3½-108u3½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-115o3½-110o3½-125o3½-120o3½-105o3½-105o3½+103
Underu3½-105u3½-105u3½-110u3½+105u3½-110u3½-115u3½+105u3½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+110 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.78%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 413.79%
Exactly 63.00%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.87%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 57.04%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Tottenham
Exactly 027.38%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 028.41%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.65%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.45%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tottenham
Exactly 054.90%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 29.87%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 055.84%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.48%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tottenham
Wins by 2+ goals16.65%
Wins by 3+ goals5.77%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals15.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.24%
Wins by 4+ goals1.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Tottenham
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Tottenham
Wins by 1 goal20.85%
Wins by 2 goals10.88%
Wins by 3 goals4.17%
Wins by 4 goals1.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal20.26%
Wins by 2 goals10.27%
Wins by 3 goals3.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.22%7.78%
1.572.36%27.64%
2.546.99%53.01%
3.525.40%74.60%
4.511.61%88.39%
5.54.57%95.43%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Tottenham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.62%27.38%
1.537.15%62.85%
2.514.18%85.82%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.59%28.41%
1.535.84%64.16%
2.513.34%86.66%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.35%30.65%
1.533.10%66.90%
2.511.67%88.33%
3.53.23%96.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.78%
9.79%
6.16%
2.58%
0.81%
0.20%
1
10.08%
12.68%
7.98%
3.35%
1.05%
0.27%
2
6.52%
8.21%
5.17%
2.17%
0.68%
0.17%
3
2.82%
3.55%
2.23%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
4
0.91%
1.15%
0.72%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.30%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Tottenham
1-010.08%
2-06.52%
2-18.21%
3-02.82%
3-13.55%
3-22.23%
4-00.91%
4-11.15%
4-20.72%
4-30.30%
5-00.24%
5-10.30%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-07.78%
1-112.68%
2-25.17%
3-30.94%
Aston Villa
0-19.79%
0-26.16%
1-27.98%
0-32.58%
1-33.35%
2-32.17%
0-40.81%
1-41.05%
2-40.68%
3-40.29%
0-50.20%
1-50.27%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
30.66%
17.86%
5.20%
1.01%
0.15%
1
18.38%
10.71%
3.12%
0.61%
0.09%
2
5.51%
3.21%
0.94%
0.18%
0.03%
3
1.10%
0.64%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.17%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Tottenham
1-018.38%
2-05.51%
2-13.21%
3-01.10%
3-10.64%
3-20.19%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-030.66%
1-110.71%
2-20.94%
Aston Villa
0-117.86%
0-25.20%
1-23.12%
0-31.01%
1-30.61%
2-30.18%
0-40.15%