Aston Villa at Luton Town

Updated

Aston Villa

60.4%22.1%17.5%
Aston Villa WinDrawWin
1.88Projected Goals 0.90
3Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Nottingham Forest-177
W 2-1 at Fulham+133
L 2-1 vs Manchester United+112
W 5-0 at Sheffield United-165
L 3-1 vs Newcastle United-120
Luton Town
Money Line
L 1-4 at Liverpool+940
L 2-1 vs Manchester United+315
L 3-1 vs Sheffield United-145
T 4-4 at Newcastle United+480
W 0-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-118-140-145-150-144-150-140-137.4
Luton Town+300+342+330+360+349+360+360+376.9
Draw+302+334+340+356+350+356+356+372.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-135--140-165-160-145-145-137.4
Luton Town+310-+317+335+280+350+350+376.9
Draw+330-+335+335+305+325+335+372.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -145 to -155
Luton Town ML moved from +320 to +310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -140 to -148
Luton Town ML moved from +340 to +325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-126o3½+112o3¼-112o3¼-108o3¼-105o3¼-108o3¼-105o3¼+100
Underu3+108u3½-132u3¼-108u3¼-108u3¼-109u3¼-108u3½-132u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3½+100o3½+120o3½+115o3½+110o3½+115o3½+120o3¼+100
Underu3+120u3½-120u3½-140u3½-135u3½-140u3½-135u3½-120u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-145 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.20%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 415.44%
Exactly 63.98%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.24%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.59%
Exactly 71.58%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 015.26%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.90%
Exactly 47.94%
Exactly 52.99%
Exactly 60.94%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 040.65%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.47%
Exactly 34.94%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.60%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 39.81%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 041.88%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.86%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 065.91%
Exactly 127.47%
Exactly 25.73%
Exactly 30.80%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals35.59%
Wins by 3+ goals16.98%
Wins by 4+ goals6.66%
Wins by 5+ goals2.17%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals5.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.74%
Wins by 2 goals18.61%
Wins by 3 goals10.32%
Wins by 4 goals4.49%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal11.84%
Wins by 2 goals4.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.80%6.20%
1.576.55%23.45%
2.552.58%47.42%
3.530.37%69.63%
4.514.93%85.07%
5.56.34%93.66%
6.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.74%15.26%
1.556.06%43.94%
2.529.09%70.91%
3.512.19%87.81%
4.54.25%95.75%
5.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.35%40.65%
1.522.76%77.24%
2.56.29%93.71%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.40%27.60%
1.536.87%63.13%
2.514.00%86.00%
3.54.18%95.82%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Luton Town
Score01234
0
6.20%
5.58%
2.51%
0.75%
0.17%
1
11.66%
10.50%
4.72%
1.42%
0.32%
2
10.96%
9.87%
4.44%
1.33%
0.30%
3
6.87%
6.18%
2.78%
0.84%
0.19%
4
3.23%
2.91%
1.31%
0.39%
0.09%
5
1.21%
1.09%
0.49%
0.15%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-011.66%
2-010.96%
2-19.87%
3-06.87%
3-16.18%
3-22.78%
4-03.23%
4-12.91%
4-21.31%
4-30.39%
5-01.21%
5-11.09%
5-20.49%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.20%
1-110.50%
2-24.44%
3-30.84%
Luton Town
0-15.58%
0-22.51%
1-24.72%
0-30.75%
1-31.42%
2-31.33%
0-40.17%
1-40.32%
2-40.30%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Luton Town
Score0123
0
27.60%
11.50%
2.40%
0.33%
1
24.03%
10.01%
2.09%
0.29%
2
10.46%
4.36%
0.91%
0.13%
3
3.03%
1.26%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.66%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-024.03%
2-010.46%
2-14.36%
3-03.03%
3-11.26%
3-20.26%
4-00.66%
4-10.28%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-027.60%
1-110.01%
2-20.91%
Luton Town
0-111.50%
0-22.40%
1-22.09%
0-30.33%
1-30.29%
2-30.13%