Newcastle Utd at Burnley

Updated

Newcastle United

25.4%26.6%48.0%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBurnley Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.44
2Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Arsenal+330
L 0-5 at Manchester City+1600
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+700
W 3-0 at Norwich City+123
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+130
Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+290
L 0-1 at Tottenham+850
L 3-1 vs Aston Villa+205
W 2-1 at Watford+190
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+192+205+200+206+194+200+206+217.4
Burnley+138+140+150+155+141+150+155+154.5
Draw+238+225+230+232+229+230+232+242.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+237-+203-+210+210+210+217.4
Burnley+117-+138-+105+135+138+154.5
Draw+233-+230-+215+230+230+242.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +215 to +205
Burnley ML moved from +141 to +133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +220 to +210
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼-118o2¼-110o2½+123-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2½+128
Underu2¼-105u2¼-102u2¼-106u2½-138-u2¼-106u2½-138u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115o2½+120-o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2½+128
Underu2½-120u2½-135u2½-140-u2½-140u2½-140u2½-135u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-105 to u2½-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.92%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 412.68%
Exactly 62.47%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.56%
Exactly 320.99%
Exactly 56.13%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 037.79%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.89%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 023.60%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 311.84%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 51.23%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.66%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 42.13%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 063.73%
Exactly 128.71%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 051.25%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 211.45%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals23.58%
Wins by 3+ goals9.09%
Wins by 4+ goals2.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal16.38%
Wins by 2 goals6.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.31%
Wins by 2 goals14.49%
Wins by 3 goals6.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.08%8.92%
1.569.52%30.48%
2.543.47%56.53%
3.522.48%77.52%
4.59.80%90.20%
5.53.67%96.33%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.21%37.79%
1.525.44%74.56%
2.57.54%92.46%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.40%23.60%
1.542.32%57.68%
2.517.72%82.28%
3.55.88%94.12%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.34%32.66%
1.530.80%69.20%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Burnley
Score012345
0
8.92%
12.88%
9.30%
4.47%
1.61%
0.47%
1
8.68%
12.53%
9.05%
4.35%
1.57%
0.45%
2
4.22%
6.10%
4.40%
2.12%
0.76%
0.22%
3
1.37%
1.98%
1.43%
0.69%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.33%
0.48%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Newcastle United
1-08.68%
2-04.22%
2-16.10%
3-01.37%
3-11.98%
3-21.43%
4-00.33%
4-10.48%
4-20.35%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.92%
1-112.53%
2-24.40%
3-30.69%
Burnley
0-112.88%
0-29.30%
1-29.05%
0-34.47%
1-34.35%
2-32.12%
0-41.61%
1-41.57%
2-40.76%
3-40.25%
0-50.47%
1-50.45%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Burnley
Score01234
0
32.66%
21.83%
7.30%
1.63%
0.27%
1
14.72%
9.84%
3.29%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.32%
2.22%
0.74%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.50%
0.33%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-014.72%
2-03.32%
2-12.22%
3-00.50%
3-10.33%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.66%
1-19.84%
2-20.74%
Burnley
0-121.83%
0-27.30%
1-23.29%
0-31.63%
1-30.73%
2-30.17%
0-40.27%
1-40.12%