Manchester City at Leeds United

Updated

Manchester City

81.0%12.4%6.5%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.81Projected Goals 0.69
3Final Score 1

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Brentford-750
W 1-2 vs Fulham-550
W 1-0 at Leicester City-260
W 1-3 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-480
L 0-1 at Liverpool-115
Leeds United
Money Line
L 3-4 at Tottenham+440
W 3-4 vs Bournemouth-159
W 2-1 at Liverpool+1100
L 3-2 vs Fulham+105
L 0-2 at Leicester City+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-345-352-375-350-340-350-340-300.4
Leeds United+750+888+875+925+895+925+925+924.8
Draw+460+525+500+525+538+525+538+557.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-330--385---370-370-300.4
Leeds United+830-+900--+900+900+924.8
Draw+470-+530--+500+530+557.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -375 to -385
Leeds United ML moved from +909 to +895

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -385 to -400
Leeds United ML moved from +950 to +900

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112o3½-103o3½+100o3½+109o3½+102o3½+109o3½+109o3½+109
Underu3¼-108u3½-115u3½-120u3½-125u3½-117u3½-125u3½-115u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½-110o3½-110-o3½-115o3½-110o3½-110o3½+109
Underu3½-125u3½-110u3½-110-u3½-115u3½-110u3½-110u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.01%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 418.89%
Exactly 67.73%
Exactly 81.70%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.54%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 513.24%
Exactly 73.87%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.02%
Exactly 116.92%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 415.64%
Exactly 58.79%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 80.58%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 049.92%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 212.05%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.74%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 45.70%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.03%
Exactly 314.05%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 027.23%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 072.50%
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 23.75%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals61.07%
Wins by 3+ goals39.34%
Wins by 4+ goals21.62%
Wins by 5+ goals10.22%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals1.59%
Wins by 3+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.85%
Wins by 2 goals21.74%
Wins by 3 goals17.72%
Wins by 4 goals11.40%
Wins by 5 goals6.03%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal4.90%
Wins by 2 goals1.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.99%3.01%
1.586.45%13.55%
2.567.99%32.01%
3.546.43%53.57%
4.527.53%72.47%
5.514.29%85.71%
6.56.56%93.44%
7.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.98%6.02%
1.577.05%22.95%
2.553.28%46.72%
3.531.02%68.98%
4.515.38%84.62%
5.56.59%93.41%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.08%49.92%
1.515.40%84.60%
2.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.26%19.74%
1.548.23%51.77%
2.522.24%77.76%
3.58.19%91.81%
4.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Leeds United
Score0123
0
3.01%
2.09%
0.73%
0.17%
1
8.45%
5.87%
2.04%
0.47%
2
11.87%
8.24%
2.86%
0.66%
3
11.11%
7.72%
2.68%
0.62%
4
7.81%
5.42%
1.88%
0.44%
5
4.39%
3.05%
1.06%
0.25%
Manchester City
1-08.45%
2-011.87%
2-18.24%
3-011.11%
3-17.72%
3-22.68%
4-07.81%
4-15.42%
4-21.88%
4-30.44%
5-04.39%
5-13.05%
5-21.06%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-03.01%
1-15.87%
2-22.86%
3-30.62%
Leeds United
0-12.09%
0-20.73%
1-22.04%
0-30.17%
1-30.47%
2-30.66%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Leeds United
Score0123
0
19.74%
6.35%
1.02%
0.11%
1
25.68%
8.26%
1.33%
0.14%
2
16.70%
5.37%
0.86%
0.09%
3
7.24%
2.33%
0.37%
0.04%
4
2.35%
0.76%
0.12%
0.01%
5
0.61%
0.20%
0.03%
0.00%
6
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.68%
2-016.70%
2-15.37%
3-07.24%
3-12.33%
3-20.37%
4-02.35%
4-10.76%
4-20.12%
5-00.61%
5-10.20%
6-00.13%
Draw
0-019.74%
1-18.26%
2-20.86%
Leeds United
0-16.35%
0-21.02%
1-21.33%
0-30.11%
1-30.14%