Manchester City at Chelsea

Updated

Manchester City

42.8%27.6%29.6%
Manchester City WinDrawChelsea Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.05
3Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Ham United-156
T 2-2 vs Nottingham Forest-255
W 1-0 at Leeds United-141
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-190
W 0-3 vs Fulham-285
Chelsea
Money Line
L 0-3 at Everton+129
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United-135
W 4-1 at Aston Villa+170
L 1-2 at Arsenal+536
T 1-1 vs Burnley-465

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+121-103-111-113-113-113-103-105.2
Chelsea+190+260+255+272+272+272+272+284.9
Draw+290+300+305+325+325+325+325+339.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+110--109-110-110-120-109-105.2
Chelsea+205-+255+220+230+285+285+284.9
Draw+305-+318+275+280+310+318+339.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -103
Chelsea ML moved from +275 to +261

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -102 to -109
Chelsea ML moved from +265 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-120o3-122o3-122o3-122o3-122o3-120o3-113
Underu3+100u3+108u3+102u3+106u3+106u3+106u3+108u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-125o3-125o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-113
Underu3+100u3+105u3+105u3+100u3-110u3+100u3+105u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.42%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.27%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.25%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 026.78%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 223.24%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 035.16%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.20%
Exactly 36.69%
Exactly 41.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.49%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 054.34%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 210.11%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 061.64%
Exactly 129.83%
Exactly 27.22%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals19.64%
Wins by 3+ goals7.00%
Wins by 4+ goals2.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals11.14%
Wins by 3+ goals3.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.15%
Wins by 2 goals12.63%
Wins by 3 goals5.01%
Wins by 4 goals1.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal18.36%
Wins by 2 goals7.95%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.58%9.42%
1.568.33%31.67%
2.542.05%57.95%
3.521.35%78.65%
4.59.12%90.88%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.22%26.78%
1.537.94%62.06%
2.514.69%85.31%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.84%35.16%
1.528.08%71.92%
2.58.88%91.12%
3.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.51%33.49%
1.529.87%70.13%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score01234
0
9.42%
9.84%
5.14%
1.79%
0.47%
1
12.41%
12.97%
6.78%
2.36%
0.62%
2
8.17%
8.54%
4.46%
1.56%
0.41%
3
3.59%
3.75%
1.96%
0.68%
0.18%
4
1.18%
1.24%
0.65%
0.22%
0.06%
5
0.31%
0.33%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Manchester City
1-012.41%
2-08.17%
2-18.54%
3-03.59%
3-13.75%
3-21.96%
4-01.18%
4-11.24%
4-20.65%
4-30.22%
5-00.31%
5-10.33%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-09.42%
1-112.97%
2-24.46%
3-30.68%
Chelsea
0-19.84%
0-25.14%
1-26.78%
0-31.79%
1-32.36%
2-31.56%
0-40.47%
1-40.62%
2-40.41%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score0123
0
33.49%
16.21%
3.92%
0.63%
1
20.43%
9.89%
2.39%
0.39%
2
6.23%
3.02%
0.73%
0.12%
3
1.27%
0.61%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-020.43%
2-06.23%
2-13.02%
3-01.27%
3-10.61%
3-20.15%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-033.49%
1-19.89%
2-20.73%
Chelsea
0-116.21%
0-23.92%
1-22.39%
0-30.63%
1-30.39%
2-30.12%