English Premier League Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/04/2024 06:30 PM	Sheffield United Liverpool	3.6% 87.2%	9.3%	+3000 -1466 +3500 -2050	1 3	-0.08819-0.09046	-0.13744
04/03/2024 07:15 PM	Aston Villa Manchester City	5.3% 83.7%	11.0%	+1250 -435 +1050 -450	1 4	-0.23169-0.24755	-0.17781
04/03/2024 06:30 PM	Brighton and Hove Albion Brentford	37.5% 34.0%	28.5%	+176 +149 +175 +149	0 0	-1.36172-1.34323	-1.25355
04/03/2024 06:30 PM	Luton Town Arsenal	3.0% 89.0%	8.0%	+1950 -775 +1600 -800	0 2	-0.15527-0.16683	-0.11631
04/02/2024 07:15 PM	Tottenham West Ham United	37.0% 36.1%	26.9%	-101 +257 -110 +250	1 1	-1.46824-1.48157	-1.31237
04/02/2024 06:45 PM	Wolverhampton Burnley	28.3% 43.1%	28.5%	+210 +135 +200 +135	1 1	-1.30041-1.29638	-1.25362
04/02/2024 06:45 PM	Crystal Palace Bournemouth	35.0% 35.5%	29.5%	+305 -111 +303 +100	0 1	-0.67387-0.70785	-1.03510
04/02/2024 06:30 PM	Everton Newcastle United	14.8% 65.1%	20.1%	+277 +103 +270 +100	1 1	-1.34992-1.35802	-1.60231
04/02/2024 06:30 PM	Fulham Nottingham Forest	32.6% 38.5%	28.9%	+167 +173 +169 +165	1 3	-1.03209-1.01688	-0.95555
03/31/2024 03:30 PM	Arsenal Manchester City	14.3% 66.2%	19.4%	+276 +108 +280 +105	0 0	-1.32516-1.30926	-1.63882
03/31/2024 01:00 PM	Brighton and Hove Albion Liverpool	10.2% 73.1%	16.7%	+850 -325 +800 -300	1 2	-0.29461-0.30858	-0.31322
03/30/2024 08:00 PM	Manchester United Brentford	46.5% 27.3%	26.3%	+105 +247 +100 +260	1 1	-1.42134-1.42312	-1.33735
03/30/2024 05:30 PM	Wolverhampton Aston Villa	18.9% 57.5%	23.5%	+540 -183 +520 -185	0 2	-0.46077-0.47683	-0.55262
03/30/2024 03:00 PM	Fulham Sheffield United	40.3% 31.1%	28.6%	-138 +382 -140 +375	3 3	-1.44358-1.45736	-1.25222
03/30/2024 03:00 PM	Everton Bournemouth	31.5% 41.0%	27.5%	+230 +120 +220 +120	1 2	-0.81240-0.82865	-0.89165
03/30/2024 03:00 PM	Luton Town Tottenham	4.5% 85.5%	10.0%	+1150 -473 +1050 -520	1 2	-0.21944-0.22386	-0.15682

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.