English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 8, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Crystal Palace
Fulham		35.1%
35.8%		29.1%
+194
+155
+190
+158
2
1		-1.10788-1.09778-1.04705
West Ham United
Brighton and Hove Albion		12.5%
68.7%		18.8%
+450
-161
+440
-170
1
1		-1.48935-1.51386-1.67222
Liverpool
Leeds United		67.2%
14.0%		18.8%
-127
+347
-135
+355
3
3		-1.41894-1.43906-1.67238
Brentford
Tottenham		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+203
+147
+200
+145
0
2		-0.93280-0.92294-0.62798
Sunderland
Manchester City		7.3%
78.8%		13.8%
+1050
-370
+990
-390
0
3		-0.26923-0.27123-0.23778
Burnley
Newcastle United		9.2%
74.4%		16.4%
+880
-305
+860
-310
1
2		-0.31073-0.31174-0.29588
Nottingham Forest
Everton		24.4%
49.6%		26.0%
+290
+112
+279
+110
0
3		-0.78030-0.78856-0.70118
Chelsea
Bournemouth		41.6%
30.4%		27.9%
+112
+245
+110
+230
0
0		-1.36912-1.38629-1.27586
Arsenal
Aston Villa		46.7%
27.6%		25.7%
-107
+340
-112
+335
1
2		-1.50715-1.51159-1.28862
West Ham United
Manchester United		11.3%
71.5%		17.2%
+650
-245
+650
-250
1
1		-1.68378-1.66400-1.75933
Chelsea
Leeds United		50.7%
24.4%		24.8%
-104
+320
+100
+305
1
3		-1.45745-1.41223-1.40854
Sunderland
Liverpool		5.7%
82.4%		11.9%
+750
-285
+750
-290
1
1		-1.76597-1.74686-2.12972
Nottingham Forest
Wolverhampton		37.0%
33.0%		30.0%
+138
+221
+140
+210
1
0		-0.90123-0.91252-0.99460
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion		25.3%
49.2%		25.5%
+225
+125
+230
+125
4
3		-1.21039-1.23467-1.37480
Brentford
Arsenal		9.2%
75.1%		15.7%
+725
-233
+700
-230
0
2		-0.39155-0.37339-0.28658
Crystal Palace
Burnley		52.8%
21.6%		25.6%
-136
+415
-135
+395
1
0		-0.58625-0.59793-0.63911
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.29862 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30582 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.35964
-0.06102
-0.05381

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.