English Premier League Predictions

Updated 13 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/07/2023 04:30 PM	Nottingham Forest Crystal Palace	11.4% 69.2%	19.4%	+245 +133 +245 +130	0 0	-1.19422-1.18866	-1.63964
10/07/2023 02:00 PM	Brentford Manchester United	13.6% 67.0%	19.4%	+430 -153 +429 -150	1 2	-0.52860-0.54323	-0.40030
10/07/2023 02:00 PM	Sheffield United Fulham	12.1% 68.4%	19.5%	+575 -189 +575 -195	1 3	-0.44874-0.46512	-0.37913
10/07/2023 02:00 PM	Bournemouth Everton	19.4% 57.5%	23.1%	+315 -108 +305 -115	0 3	-0.68122-0.67303	-0.55365
10/07/2023 02:00 PM	Chelsea Burnley	53.9% 21.2%	24.9%	-143 +425 -145 +390	4 1	-0.55876-0.57552	-0.61728
10/07/2023 11:30 AM	Tottenham Luton Town	72.4% 10.9%	16.7%	-224 +620 -225 +685	1 0	-0.39322-0.36440	-0.32289
10/03/2023 06:30 PM	Burnley Luton Town	45.8% 26.7%	27.4%	+166 +195 +163 +190	2 1	-1.00537-1.00767	-0.78067
10/02/2023 07:00 PM	Chelsea Fulham	53.0% 22.3%	24.7%	+120 +255 +118 +260	2 0	-0.81015-0.81202	-0.63433
10/01/2023 01:00 PM	Brentford Nottingham Forest	40.0% 31.2%	28.7%	+192 +165 +185 +168	1 1	-1.20148-1.19902	-1.24754
09/30/2023 04:30 PM	Liverpool Tottenham	45.3% 29.4%	25.3%	+125 +200 +125 +190	1 2	-1.12541-1.10627	-1.22458
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Manchester City Wolverhampton	71.0% 11.0%	18.1%	-255 +725 -265 +775	1 2	-2.14157-2.19095	-2.21137
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Sheffield United West Ham United	7.6% 77.6%	14.8%	+650 -221 +600 -228	0 2	-0.39884-0.41020	-0.25398
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Burnley Newcastle United	20.0% 56.1%	24.0%	+755 -252 +730 -275	0 2	-0.35906-0.35702	-0.57846
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Crystal Palace Manchester United	17.9% 59.3%	22.8%	+530 -178 +485 -175	1 0	-1.87165-1.80868	-1.71914
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Luton Town Everton	10.2% 72.7%	17.1%	+495 -156 +475 -162	2 1	-1.81665-1.79673	-2.27985
09/30/2023 02:00 PM	Arsenal Bournemouth	58.9% 18.6%	22.5%	-185 +510 -190 +500	4 0	-0.46213-0.46318	-0.52879

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.