Arsenal at Leeds United

Updated

Arsenal

67.1%19.1%13.8%
Arsenal WinDrawWin
2.17Projected Goals 0.87
1Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Liverpool+160
W 1-3 vs Tottenham-105
W 3-0 at Brentford-130
L 1-3 at Manchester United+170
W 1-2 vs Aston Villa-195
Leeds United
Money Line
L 1-2 at Crystal Palace+255
T 0-0 vs Aston Villa+135
L 2-5 at Brentford+245
T 1-1 vs Everton+110
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+378

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-160-154-155-155--155-154-139.5
Leeds United+400+410+380+415-+415+415+440.0
Draw+300+321+320+330-+330+330+330.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-175--180--230-160-160-139.5
Leeds United+460-+440-+450+415+450+440.0
Draw+320-+346-+300+315+346+330.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -180 to -190
Leeds United ML moved from +390 to +380

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Leeds United: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -220 to -235
Leeds United ML moved from +475 to +415

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3-106o3-102o3-102-o3-102o3-102o3+107
Underu3-122u3-112u3-118u3-114-u3-114u3-112u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-105o3-105-o3-110o3+100o3+100o3+107
Underu3-120u3-115u3-115-u3-120u3-120u3-115u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.80%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 417.01%
Exactly 65.23%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.57%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.33%
Exactly 72.27%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 011.45%
Exactly 124.81%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 319.43%
Exactly 410.53%
Exactly 54.56%
Exactly 61.65%
Exactly 70.51%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 041.92%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.84%
Exactly 34.59%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.51%
Exactly 224.23%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 311.36%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 036.66%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 36.18%
Exactly 41.55%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 066.86%
Exactly 126.92%
Exactly 25.42%
Exactly 30.73%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals43.21%
Wins by 3+ goals22.97%
Wins by 4+ goals10.18%
Wins by 5+ goals3.82%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals4.25%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.81%
Wins by 2 goals20.25%
Wins by 3 goals12.78%
Wins by 4 goals6.36%
Wins by 5 goals2.60%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal9.55%
Wins by 2 goals3.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.20%4.80%
1.580.63%19.37%
2.558.51%41.49%
3.536.11%63.89%
4.519.10%80.90%
5.58.77%91.23%
6.53.54%96.46%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.55%11.45%
1.563.74%36.26%
2.536.86%63.14%
3.517.43%82.57%
4.56.90%93.10%
5.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.08%41.92%
1.521.64%78.36%
2.55.79%94.21%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.49%24.51%
1.541.03%58.97%
2.516.80%83.20%
3.55.44%94.56%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Leeds United
Score01234
0
4.80%
4.17%
1.81%
0.53%
0.11%
1
10.40%
9.04%
3.93%
1.14%
0.25%
2
11.27%
9.80%
4.26%
1.23%
0.27%
3
8.14%
7.08%
3.08%
0.89%
0.19%
4
4.41%
3.84%
1.67%
0.48%
0.11%
5
1.91%
1.66%
0.72%
0.21%
0.05%
Arsenal
1-010.40%
2-011.27%
2-19.80%
3-08.14%
3-17.08%
3-23.08%
4-04.41%
4-13.84%
4-21.67%
4-30.48%
5-01.91%
5-11.66%
5-20.72%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-04.80%
1-19.04%
2-24.26%
3-30.89%
4-40.11%
Leeds United
0-14.17%
0-21.81%
1-23.93%
0-30.53%
1-31.14%
2-31.23%
0-40.11%
1-40.25%
2-40.27%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Leeds United
Score0123
0
24.51%
9.87%
1.99%
0.27%
1
24.60%
9.90%
1.99%
0.27%
2
12.34%
4.97%
1.00%
0.13%
3
4.13%
1.66%
0.33%
0.04%
4
1.04%
0.42%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-024.60%
2-012.34%
2-14.97%
3-04.13%
3-11.66%
3-20.33%
4-01.04%
4-10.42%
5-00.21%
Draw
0-024.51%
1-19.90%
2-21.00%
Leeds United
0-19.87%
0-21.99%
1-21.99%
0-30.27%
1-30.27%
2-30.13%