Manchester City at Crystal Palace

Updated

Manchester City

71.1%17.9%11.1%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.23Projected Goals 0.75
4Final Score 2

Crystal Palace

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Aston Villa-450
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+105
T 1-1 at Liverpool+100
W 1-3 vs Manchester United-400
W 1-0 at Bournemouth-241
Crystal Palace
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bournemouth+303
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+236
T 1-1 vs Luton Town-115
L 1-3 at Tottenham+565
W 0-3 vs Burnley+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-285-280-280-302-298-302-280-264.6
Crystal Palace+811+813+700+950+849+950+950+986.9
Draw+427+416+420+430+424+430+430+448.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-350--400---310-310-264.6
Crystal Palace+950-+1245--+900+1245+986.9
Draw+460-+461--+415+461+448.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 10.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -295 to -302
Crystal Palace ML moved from +700 to +675

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -375 to -400
Crystal Palace ML moved from +950 to +900

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3+111o2¾-118o2¾-117o2¾-124o2¾-117o2¾-117o2¾-108
Underu3-117u3-131u2¾-102u2¾+101u2¾+108u2¾+101u2¾+108u2¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+110o3+125o3+110o3+100o3+105o3+125o2¾-108
Underu3-130u3-130u3-145u3-130u3-130u3-125u3-125u2¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.07%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 416.70%
Exactly 64.95%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.12%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.96%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.74%
Exactly 123.96%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 411.09%
Exactly 54.95%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 70.59%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 047.22%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 213.29%
Exactly 33.33%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.15%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.03%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.59%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 070.65%
Exactly 124.55%
Exactly 24.26%
Exactly 30.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals47.19%
Wins by 3+ goals25.88%
Wins by 4+ goals11.84%
Wins by 5+ goals4.58%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals2.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Crystal Palace
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.83%
Wins by 2 goals21.32%
Wins by 3 goals14.04%
Wins by 4 goals7.25%
Wins by 5 goals3.07%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal8.00%
Wins by 2 goals2.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.93%5.07%
1.579.81%20.19%
2.557.27%42.73%
3.534.86%65.14%
4.518.16%81.84%
5.58.21%91.79%
6.53.26%96.74%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.26%10.74%
1.565.29%34.71%
2.538.56%61.44%
3.518.68%81.32%
4.57.59%92.41%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.78%47.22%
1.517.35%82.65%
2.54.06%95.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.85%25.15%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Score0123
0
5.07%
3.81%
1.43%
0.36%
1
11.32%
8.49%
3.19%
0.80%
2
12.62%
9.47%
3.55%
0.89%
3
9.39%
7.04%
2.64%
0.66%
4
5.24%
3.93%
1.47%
0.37%
5
2.34%
1.75%
0.66%
0.16%
Manchester City
1-011.32%
2-012.62%
2-19.47%
3-09.39%
3-17.04%
3-22.64%
4-05.24%
4-13.93%
4-21.47%
4-30.37%
5-02.34%
5-11.75%
5-20.66%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.07%
1-18.49%
2-23.55%
3-30.66%
Crystal Palace
0-13.81%
0-21.43%
1-23.19%
0-30.36%
1-30.80%
2-30.89%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Score0123
0
25.15%
8.74%
1.52%
0.18%
1
25.98%
9.03%
1.57%
0.18%
2
13.42%
4.66%
0.81%
0.09%
3
4.62%
1.61%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.19%
0.41%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.98%
2-013.42%
2-14.66%
3-04.62%
3-11.61%
3-20.28%
4-01.19%
4-10.41%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-025.15%
1-19.03%
2-20.81%
Crystal Palace
0-18.74%
0-21.52%
1-21.57%
0-30.18%
1-30.18%