Manchester Utd at Manchester City

Updated

Manchester United

8.5%14.8%76.7%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.55
1Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fulham-160
W 2-1 at Luton Town-125
W 2-1 at Aston Villa+220
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-180
W 4-3 at Wolverhampton+142
Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Bournemouth-241
W 0-1 vs Brentford-600
T 1-1 vs Chelsea-315
W 0-2 vs Everton-520
W 3-1 at Brentford-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+809+916+900+1015+999+1015+1015+1053.3
Manchester City-311-380-385-425-408-425-380-360.1
Draw+477+567+525+640+610+640+640+665.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+900-+990+800-+900+990+1053.3
Manchester City-385--470-400--400-400-360.1
Draw+540-+635+525-+560+635+665.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +1021 to +999
Manchester City ML moved from -406 to -426

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +925 to +860
Manchester City ML moved from -453 to -470

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+106o3½-110o3½-110o3½-106o3½-112o3½-106o3½-106o3½+102
Underu3½-124u3½-108u3½-110u3½-110u3½-102u3½-110u3½-102u3½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½+100o3½-105o3½-105o3½-115o3½-110o3½+100o3½+102
Underu3½-115u3½-120u3½-115u3½-115u3½-115u3½-110u3½-110u3½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.78%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 418.12%
Exactly 66.48%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.39%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 511.87%
Exactly 73.03%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 048.23%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 212.82%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 07.85%
Exactly 119.97%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 413.72%
Exactly 56.98%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 71.08%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.96%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 44.83%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.29%
Exactly 312.75%
Exactly 51.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 071.34%
Exactly 124.09%
Exactly 24.07%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 030.78%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals2.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals54.75%
Wins by 3+ goals32.91%
Wins by 4+ goals16.70%
Wins by 5+ goals7.21%
Wins by 6+ goals2.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.80%
Wins by 8+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal6.24%
Wins by 2 goals1.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.80%
Wins by 2 goals21.83%
Wins by 3 goals16.22%
Wins by 4 goals9.49%
Wins by 5 goals4.56%
Wins by 6 goals1.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.64%
Wins by 8 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.22%3.78%
1.583.82%16.18%
2.563.54%36.46%
3.541.40%58.60%
4.523.27%76.73%
5.511.41%88.59%
6.54.93%95.07%
7.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.77%48.23%
1.516.60%83.40%
2.53.78%96.22%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.15%7.85%
1.572.18%27.82%
2.546.77%53.23%
3.525.21%74.79%
4.511.49%88.51%
5.54.51%95.49%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.04%21.96%
1.544.75%55.25%
2.519.52%80.48%
3.56.77%93.23%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.78%
9.63%
12.26%
10.40%
6.62%
3.37%
1
2.76%
7.02%
8.94%
7.58%
4.82%
2.46%
2
1.01%
2.56%
3.26%
2.76%
1.76%
0.90%
3
0.24%
0.62%
0.79%
0.67%
0.43%
0.22%
Manchester United
1-02.76%
2-01.01%
2-12.56%
3-00.24%
3-10.62%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-03.78%
1-17.02%
2-23.26%
3-30.67%
Manchester City
0-19.63%
0-212.26%
1-28.94%
0-310.40%
1-37.58%
2-32.76%
0-46.62%
1-44.82%
2-41.76%
3-40.43%
0-53.37%
1-52.46%
2-50.90%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Manchester City
Score012345
0
21.96%
25.88%
15.24%
5.99%
1.76%
0.42%
1
7.41%
8.74%
5.15%
2.02%
0.60%
0.14%
2
1.25%
1.48%
0.87%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-07.41%
2-01.25%
2-11.48%
3-00.14%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-021.96%
1-18.74%
2-20.87%
Manchester City
0-125.88%
0-215.24%
1-25.15%
0-35.99%
1-32.02%
2-30.34%
0-41.76%
1-40.60%
2-40.10%
0-50.42%
1-50.14%