Brentford at Aston Villa

Updated

Brentford

17.6%21.8%60.6%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.91
3Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+149
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+260
L 1-2 at Burnley+125
L 1-2 at Arsenal+1150
T 2-2 vs Chelsea+220
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester City+1050
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-185
T 1-1 at West Ham United+170
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+155
W 3-2 at Luton Town-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+344+430+400+410+427+410+430+428.0
Aston Villa-127-158-160-150-156-150-150-137.8
Draw+293+319+320+318+323+318+323+332.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+335-+425+350+325+420+425+428.0
Aston Villa-180--164-150-170-165-150-137.8
Draw+295-+315+300+285+320+320+332.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +420 to +400
Aston Villa ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +350 to +330
Aston Villa ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-134o3-108o3-105o3-105o3-106o3-105o3-105o3+103
Underu3+114u3-108u3-115u3-111u3-108u3-111u3-108u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3+100o3-105o3-135o3-135o3-110o3+100o3+103
Underu3+105u3-120u3-115u3+115u3+105u3-110u3+115u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+105 to u3-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.90%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 415.77%
Exactly 64.21%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.70%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.93%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 039.85%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.87%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 014.81%
Exactly 128.29%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 317.20%
Exactly 48.21%
Exactly 53.14%
Exactly 61.00%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.98%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 065.31%
Exactly 127.82%
Exactly 25.93%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 041.30%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.15%
Exactly 34.76%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals5.75%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals35.95%
Wins by 3+ goals17.32%
Wins by 4+ goals6.87%
Wins by 5+ goals2.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.61%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal11.82%
Wins by 2 goals4.32%
Wins by 3 goals1.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.54%
Wins by 2 goals18.63%
Wins by 3 goals10.45%
Wins by 4 goals4.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.10%5.90%
1.577.40%22.60%
2.553.76%46.24%
3.531.47%68.53%
4.515.70%84.30%
5.56.77%93.23%
6.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.15%39.85%
1.523.49%76.51%
2.56.62%93.38%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.19%14.81%
1.556.90%43.10%
2.529.89%70.11%
3.512.70%87.30%
4.54.49%95.51%
5.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.02%26.98%
1.537.68%62.32%
2.514.53%85.47%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.90%
11.27%
10.76%
6.85%
3.27%
1.25%
1
5.43%
10.37%
9.90%
6.30%
3.01%
1.15%
2
2.50%
4.77%
4.56%
2.90%
1.38%
0.53%
3
0.77%
1.46%
1.40%
0.89%
0.42%
0.16%
4
0.18%
0.34%
0.32%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
Brentford
1-05.43%
2-02.50%
2-14.77%
3-00.77%
3-11.46%
3-21.40%
4-00.18%
4-10.34%
4-20.32%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-05.90%
1-110.37%
2-24.56%
3-30.89%
Aston Villa
0-111.27%
0-210.76%
1-29.90%
0-36.85%
1-36.30%
2-32.90%
0-43.27%
1-43.01%
2-41.38%
3-40.42%
0-51.25%
1-51.15%
2-50.53%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
26.98%
23.85%
10.55%
3.11%
0.69%
0.12%
1
11.49%
10.16%
4.49%
1.32%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.45%
2.16%
0.96%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.35%
0.31%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Brentford
1-011.49%
2-02.45%
2-12.16%
3-00.35%
3-10.31%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-026.98%
1-110.16%
2-20.96%
Aston Villa
0-123.85%
0-210.55%
1-24.49%
0-33.11%
1-31.32%
2-30.28%
0-40.69%
1-40.29%
0-50.12%