## Marseille

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Villarreal

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.0%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.0%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Marseille | +215 | +223 | +190 | +228 | +229 | +228 | +229 | +239.6 |

Villarreal | +105 | +115 | +125 | +115 | +110 | +115 | +115 | +122.6 |

Draw | +310 | +276 | +280 | +277 | +282 | +277 | +282 | +290.3 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Marseille | +180 | - | +223 | - | +165 | +215 | +223 | +239.6 |

Villarreal | +130 | - | +110 | - | +105 | +115 | +115 | +122.6 |

Draw | +285 | - | +275 | - | +275 | +270 | +275 | +290.3 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**2.1%**

#### Implied Margin

**-1.4%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3-108 | o3+110 | o2¾-115 | o2¾-117 | o2¾-116 | o2¾-117 | o2¾-115 | o2¾-106 |

Under | u3-112 | u3-130 | u2¾-105 | u2¾-103 | u2¾-102 | u2¾-103 | u3-130 | u2¾+106 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3-115 | - | o2½-140 | - | o3-110 | o3+110 | o2½-140 | o2¾-106 |

Under | u3-105 | - | u2½+120 | - | u3-120 | u3-130 | u3-120 | u2¾+106 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 51.2% |

No | 48.8% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 7.90% |

Exactly 2 | 25.45% |

Exactly 4 | 13.67% |

Exactly 6 | 2.94% |

Exactly 8 | 0.34% |

Exactly 1 | 20.05% |

Exactly 3 | 21.54% |

Exactly 5 | 6.94% |

Exactly 7 | 1.07% |

Exact Goals Scored - Marseille | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 32.07% |

Exactly 1 | 36.47% |

Exactly 2 | 20.74% |

Exactly 3 | 7.86% |

Exactly 4 | 2.23% |

Exactly 5 | 0.51% |

Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 24.62% |

Exactly 1 | 34.51% |

Exactly 2 | 24.18% |

Exactly 3 | 11.30% |

Exactly 4 | 3.96% |

Exactly 5 | 1.11% |

Exactly 6 | 0.26% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 30.87% |

Exactly 2 | 21.33% |

Exactly 4 | 2.46% |

Exactly 6 | 0.11% |

Exactly 1 | 36.28% |

Exactly 3 | 8.36% |

Exactly 5 | 0.58% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 59.07% |

Exactly 1 | 31.10% |

Exactly 2 | 8.19% |

Exactly 3 | 1.44% |

Exactly 4 | 0.19% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 52.26% |

Exactly 1 | 33.91% |

Exactly 2 | 11.01% |

Exactly 3 | 2.38% |

Exactly 4 | 0.39% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Marseille | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 12.10% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 3.68% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.85% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 0.13% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 20.37% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 7.58% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 2.26% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 0.53% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Marseille

##### Villarreal

Marseille | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 18.31% |

Wins by 2 goals | 8.42% |

Wins by 3 goals | 2.83% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.73% |

Wins by 5 goals | 0.13% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 22.57% |

Wins by 2 goals | 12.79% |

Wins by 3 goals | 5.32% |

Wins by 4 goals | 1.73% |

Wins by 5 goals | 0.45% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 92.10% | 7.90% |

1.5 | 72.06% | 27.94% |

2.5 | 46.61% | 53.39% |

3.5 | 25.08% | 74.92% |

4.5 | 11.41% | 88.59% |

5.5 | 4.47% | 95.53% |

6.5 | 1.53% | 98.47% |

#### Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 67.93% | 32.07% |

1.5 | 31.46% | 68.54% |

2.5 | 10.72% | 89.28% |

3.5 | 2.86% | 97.14% |

#### Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 75.38% | 24.62% |

1.5 | 40.88% | 59.12% |

2.5 | 16.69% | 83.31% |

3.5 | 5.39% | 94.61% |

4.5 | 1.43% | 98.57% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 69.13% | 30.87% |

1.5 | 32.85% | 67.15% |

2.5 | 11.52% | 88.48% |

3.5 | 3.17% | 96.83% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 7.90% | 11.07% | 7.76% | 3.62% | 1.27% | 0.36% |

1 | 8.98% | 12.59% | 8.82% | 4.12% | 1.44% | 0.40% |

2 | 5.10% | 7.16% | 5.02% | 2.34% | 0.82% | 0.23% |

3 | 1.94% | 2.71% | 1.90% | 0.89% | 0.31% | 0.09% |

4 | 0.55% | 0.77% | 0.54% | 0.25% | 0.09% | 0.02% |

5 | 0.13% | 0.18% | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.01% |

Marseille | |
---|---|

1-0 | 8.98% |

2-0 | 5.10% |

2-1 | 7.16% |

3-0 | 1.94% |

3-1 | 2.71% |

3-2 | 1.90% |

4-0 | 0.55% |

4-1 | 0.77% |

4-2 | 0.54% |

4-3 | 0.25% |

5-0 | 0.13% |

5-1 | 0.18% |

5-2 | 0.12% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 7.90% |

1-1 | 12.59% |

2-2 | 5.02% |

3-3 | 0.89% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

0-1 | 11.07% |

0-2 | 7.76% |

1-2 | 8.82% |

0-3 | 3.62% |

1-3 | 4.12% |

2-3 | 2.34% |

0-4 | 1.27% |

1-4 | 1.44% |

2-4 | 0.82% |

3-4 | 0.31% |

0-5 | 0.36% |

1-5 | 0.40% |

2-5 | 0.23% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 30.87% | 20.03% | 6.50% | 1.41% | 0.23% |

1 | 16.25% | 10.55% | 3.42% | 0.74% | 0.12% |

2 | 4.28% | 2.78% | 0.90% | 0.19% | 0.03% |

3 | 0.75% | 0.49% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.01% |

Marseille | |
---|---|

1-0 | 16.25% |

2-0 | 4.28% |

2-1 | 2.78% |

3-0 | 0.75% |

3-1 | 0.49% |

3-2 | 0.16% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 30.87% |

1-1 | 10.55% |

2-2 | 0.90% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

0-1 | 20.03% |

0-2 | 6.50% |

1-2 | 3.42% |

0-3 | 1.41% |

1-3 | 0.74% |

2-3 | 0.19% |

0-4 | 0.23% |

1-4 | 0.12% |