Germany Bundesliga Predictions


Using data from past seasons and competitions, we have generated computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future German Bundesliga games. The game and score predictions do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to try your luck on the gambling circuit, then I highly suggest reading my blog post: Sportsbook Reviews and Ratings.

Week 7 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
10/5 Wolfsburg Werder Bremen Werder Bremen to win: 59.2% Werder Bremen -146 1.83 2.71
Wolfsburg to win: 16.3% Wolfsburg +514 0.88
Odds to Draw: 24.5% Draw +309
10/6 Augsburg Dortmund Dortmund to win: 64.1% Dortmund -179 2.13 3.00
Augsburg to win: 13.6% Augsburg +636 0.86
Odds to Draw: 22.3% Draw +349
10/6 Schalke Dusseldorf Dusseldorf to win: 14.7% Dusseldorf +581 0.80 2.61
Schalke to win: 62% Schalke -164 1.80
Odds to Draw: 23.3% Draw +330
10/6 Stuttgart Hannover Hannover to win: 26.2% Hannover +282 1.05 2.47
Stuttgart to win: 44.8% Stuttgart +124 1.42
Odds to Draw: 29% Draw +245
10/6 Hertha Berlin Mainz Mainz to win: 49% Mainz +105 1.43 2.38
Hertha Berlin to win: 23% Hertha Berlin +335 0.94
Odds to Draw: 28% Draw +258
10/6 B. Monchengladbach Bayern Munich Bayern Munich to win: 79.3% Bayern Munich -384 2.86 3.52
B. Monchengladbach to win: 6.6% B. Monchengladbach +1416 0.66
Odds to Draw: 14.1% Draw +610
10/7 Bayer Leverkusen Freiburg Freiburg to win: 19.6% Freiburg +411 1.01 2.81
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 53.9% Bayer Leverkusen -117 1.80
Odds to Draw: 26.5% Draw +278
10/7 Eintracht Frankfurt Hoffenheim Hoffenheim to win: 62.1% Hoffenheim -164 1.93 2.78
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 14.7% Eintracht Frankfurt +581 0.85
Odds to Draw: 23.2% Draw +332
10/7 Nurnberg RB Leipzig RB Leipzig to win: 70.4% RB Leipzig -238 2.33 3.10
Nurnberg to win: 10.4% Nurnberg +862 0.76
Odds to Draw: 19.2% Draw +421

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Week 8 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
10/19 Dusseldorf Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 67.3% Eintracht Frankfurt -206 1.88 2.60
Dusseldorf to win: 11.9% Dusseldorf +741 0.71
Odds to Draw: 20.8% Draw +381
10/20 RB Leipzig Augsburg Augsburg to win: 44.5% Augsburg +125 1.42 2.49
RB Leipzig to win: 26.5% RB Leipzig +278 1.06
Odds to Draw: 29% Draw +245
10/20 Hannover Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen to win: 67.9% Bayer Leverkusen -212 2.12 2.89
Hannover to win: 11.6% Hannover +763 0.77
Odds to Draw: 20.5% Draw +388
10/20 Hoffenheim Nurnberg Nurnberg to win: 20.6% Nurnberg +386 1.05 2.85
Hoffenheim to win: 52.5% Hoffenheim -111 1.80
Odds to Draw: 26.9% Draw +272
10/20 Dortmund Stuttgart Stuttgart to win: 46.1% Stuttgart +117 1.66 2.84
Dortmund to win: 25.2% Dortmund +297 1.17
Odds to Draw: 28.7% Draw +249
10/20 Bayern Munich Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 10.6% Wolfsburg +844 0.76 3.01
Bayern Munich to win: 70% Bayern Munich -234 2.25
Odds to Draw: 19.4% Draw +416
10/20 Werder Bremen Schalke Schalke to win: 59.7% Schalke -149 1.91 2.82
Werder Bremen to win: 16% Werder Bremen +525 0.90
Odds to Draw: 24.3% Draw +312
10/21 Freiburg Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin to win: 63.1% Hertha Berlin -172 1.93 2.75
Freiburg to win: 14.1% Freiburg +610 0.82
Odds to Draw: 22.8% Draw +339
10/21 Mainz B. Monchengladbach B. Monchengladbach to win: 59.3% B. Monchengladbach -146 1.90 2.80
Mainz to win: 16.3% Mainz +514 0.90
Odds to Draw: 24.4% Draw +310

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German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is the Germany Bundesliga table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 10/2/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Bayern Munich
4
1
1
13
24.6
4.1
5.3
79
Dortmund
4
0
2
14
19.6
6.7
7.8
66.4
RB Leipzig
3
1
2
11
14.6
10.7
8.7
52.6
Bayer Leverkusen
2
4
0
6
15.3
12.1
6.6
52.4
B. Monchengladbach
3
1
2
11
14.7
11
8.4
52.3
Schalke
1
5
0
3
14.1
13.3
6.7
48.9
Hertha Berlin
4
1
1
13
13.5
12.5
8
48.6
Hoffenheim
2
3
1
7
13.5
13
7.5
48
Werder Bremen
3
1
2
11
12.5
13.1
8.4
46
Wolfsburg
2
1
3
9
11.9
12
10.1
45.8
Augsburg
2
2
2
8
11.8
13.3
8.9
44.3
Stuttgart
1
3
2
5
11.6
13.8
8.7
43.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
3
1
7
11.5
14.5
8
42.6
Mainz
2
2
2
8
11.1
14.1
8.7
42.1
Freiburg
2
3
1
7
10
16.7
7.3
37.3
Nurnberg
2
2
2
8
8.6
17.1
8.2
34.2
Hannover
0
4
2
2
8.1
17.3
8.6
33
Dusseldorf
1
3
2
5
6.9
18.8
8.4
29

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the German Bundesliga table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage and the sixth place team to Qualification of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Bayern Munich
89.6%
100%
0%
0%
Dortmund
9.5%
94.3%
3.4%
0%
RB Leipzig
0.1%
35%
22.2%
0.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
0.2%
36.6%
22%
1.6%
B. Monchengladbach
0.2%
32.8%
24%
0.9%
Schalke
0%
22.3%
21%
2.9%
Hertha Berlin
0%
17.4%
18.9%
2.9%
Hoffenheim
0.2%
17.9%
18.2%
4%
Werder Bremen
0.1%
12.8%
11.6%
6.1%
Wolfsburg
0%
8.4%
16.5%
6%
Augsburg
0%
7.7%
11.6%
8%
Stuttgart
0%
5.8%
10.4%
10.1%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0%
4%
9.9%
13.1%
Mainz
0%
4.1%
6%
12.6%
Freiburg
0.1%
0.8%
1.7%
36.6%
Nurnberg
0%
0%
1.3%
54.4%
Hannover
0%
0.1%
1%
60.2%
Dusseldorf
0%
0%
0.3%
79.7%