German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
RB Leipzig
Freiburg		39.3%
35.4%		25.3%
+166
+155
+155
+157
1
4		-0.95651-0.99004-1.03885
Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli		40.6%
33.7%		25.6%
+165
+172
+155
+165
3
1		-0.99190-0.97939-0.90084
FC Koln
Bayern Munich		5.2%
85.8%		9.0%
+1410
-600
+1300
-625
1
5		-0.17322-0.18645-0.15314
Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim		28.0%
46.8%		25.2%
+247
+105
+240
+100
2
0		-1.25537-1.25492-1.27347
Augsburg
Union Berlin		38.4%
35.8%		25.8%
+150
+165
+137
+165
0
4		-0.99737-1.01401-1.02697
Hamburger SV
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		10.2%
75.0%		14.8%
+860
-345
+710
-335
1
1		-1.96056-1.90488-1.91372
Dortmund
Werder Bremen		50.0%
26.9%		23.1%
+112
+232
+110
+230
2
0		-0.77044-0.77568-0.69295
Hoffenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach		55.3%
21.9%		22.8%
-153
+379
-160
+350
0
4		-1.59470-1.55107-1.51919
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt		52.1%
25.6%		22.3%
-115
+278
-115
+270
2
2		-1.51499-1.50819-1.50242
Union Berlin
Mainz 05		21.9%
54.7%		23.3%
+370
-144
+350
-130
3
1		-1.57833-1.53493-1.51713
FC Heidenheim
FC Koln		24.6%
53.3%		22.1%
+232
+103
+215
+110
3
1		-1.23248-1.18895-1.40177
Freiburg
Hamburger SV		40.0%
35.6%		24.4%
+130
+210
+145
+193
2
3		-1.16226-1.09524-1.03367
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg		58.5%
21.6%		19.9%
-205
+475
-210
+465
1
0		-0.43212-0.43799-0.53662
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		29.8%
46.1%		24.0%
+270
-102
+247
-105
1
3		-0.71443-0.71525-0.77440
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig		10.9%
73.9%		15.1%
+880
-325
+900
-350
1
2		-0.30113-0.29217-0.30188
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim		16.1%
64.3%		19.6%
+487
-185
+485
-210
0
1		-0.46388-0.43405-0.44206
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.