Germany Bundesliga Predictions


Using data from past seasons and competitions, we have generated computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future German Bundesliga games. The game and score predictions do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to try your luck on the gambling circuit, then I highly suggest reading my blog post: Sportsbook Reviews and Ratings.

Week 33 German Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
5/11 Hertha Berlin Augsburg Augsburg to win: 53.8% Augsburg -117 1.62 2.55
Hertha Berlin to win: 19.7% Hertha Berlin +408 0.92
Odds to Draw: 26.5% Draw +278
5/11 Schalke Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen to win: 54.3% Bayer Leverkusen -119 1.75 2.73
Schalke to win: 19.4% Schalke +416 0.97
Odds to Draw: 26.3% Draw +281
5/11 Dusseldorf Dortmund Dortmund to win: 82.4% Dortmund -469 2.87 3.46
Dusseldorf to win: 5.4% Dusseldorf +1752 0.58
Odds to Draw: 12.2% Draw +720
5/11 Freiburg Hannover Hannover to win: 48.5% Hannover +107 1.59 2.65
Freiburg to win: 23.4% Freiburg +328 1.05
Odds to Draw: 28.1% Draw +256
5/11 Werder Bremen Hoffenheim Hoffenheim to win: 59.4% Hoffenheim -147 2.09 3.07
Werder Bremen to win: 16.2% Werder Bremen +518 0.98
Odds to Draw: 24.4% Draw +310
5/11 B. Monchengladbach Nurnberg Nurnberg to win: 17% Nurnberg +489 0.96 2.92
B. Monchengladbach to win: 58% B. Monchengladbach -139 1.95
Odds to Draw: 25% Draw +300
5/11 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig RB Leipzig to win: 20.8% RB Leipzig +381 1.09 2.95
Bayern Munich to win: 52.1% Bayern Munich -109 1.86
Odds to Draw: 27.1% Draw +270
5/11 Wolfsburg Stuttgart Stuttgart to win: 53.8% Stuttgart -117 1.68 2.63
Wolfsburg to win: 19.7% Wolfsburg +408 0.95
Odds to Draw: 26.5% Draw +278
5/12 Mainz Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 64.8% Eintracht Frankfurt -185 1.94 2.74
Mainz to win: 13.2% Mainz +658 0.79
Odds to Draw: 22% Draw +355

Week 34 German Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
5/18 Dortmund B. Monchengladbach B. Monchengladbach to win: 37.5% B. Monchengladbach +167 1.44 2.76
Dortmund to win: 32.6% Dortmund +207 1.32
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
5/18 Eintracht Frankfurt Bayern Munich Bayern Munich to win: 69.4% Bayern Munich -227 2.33 3.12
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 10.9% Eintracht Frankfurt +818 0.79
Odds to Draw: 19.7% Draw +408
5/18 Hannover Dusseldorf Dusseldorf to win: 40.2% Dusseldorf +149 1.27 2.36
Hannover to win: 30.1% Hannover +233 1.08
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237
5/18 Nurnberg Freiburg Freiburg to win: 60.4% Freiburg -153 2.00 2.91
Nurnberg to win: 15.6% Nurnberg +542 0.91
Odds to Draw: 24% Draw +317
5/18 Bayer Leverkusen Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin to win: 31.1% Hertha Berlin +222 1.15 2.46
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 39.1% Bayer Leverkusen +156 1.31
Odds to Draw: 29.8% Draw +236
5/18 Hoffenheim Mainz Mainz to win: 30.7% Mainz +226 1.18 2.54
Hoffenheim to win: 39.5% Hoffenheim +154 1.36
Odds to Draw: 29.8% Draw +236
5/18 Stuttgart Schalke Schalke to win: 59.1% Schalke -145 1.85 2.74
Stuttgart to win: 16.4% Stuttgart +510 0.89
Odds to Draw: 24.5% Draw +309
5/18 RB Leipzig Werder Bremen Werder Bremen to win: 44.9% Werder Bremen +123 1.55 2.69
RB Leipzig to win: 26.2% RB Leipzig +282 1.14
Odds to Draw: 28.9% Draw +247
5/18 Augsburg Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 49.3% Wolfsburg +103 1.48 2.44
Augsburg to win: 22.8% Augsburg +339 0.96
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is the Germany Bundesliga table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 4/4/2019.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Bayern Munich
19
4
4
61
24.5
4.6
5
78.4
Dortmund
19
2
6
63
22.6
4
7.4
75.2
RB Leipzig
15
5
7
52
17.4
8
8.6
60.7
B. Monchengladbach
14
8
5
47
17.1
10.2
6.7
57.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
14
6
7
49
16.2
9.3
8.6
57
Bayer Leverkusen
13
11
3
42
16.5
12.8
4.7
54.1
Wolfsburg
12
9
6
42
14.9
11.4
7.7
52.4
Hoffenheim
10
6
11
41
12.8
8.5
12.7
51
Werder Bremen
11
7
9
42
13.3
10.2
10.5
50.3
Hertha Berlin
9
10
8
35
11.6
12.6
9.8
44.6
Freiburg
7
9
11
32
9.1
12.4
12.5
39.8
Mainz
8
13
6
30
10.7
15.7
7.7
39.6
Dusseldorf
10
13
4
34
11.3
17.2
5.5
39.5
Schalke
7
15
5
26
10.2
17.2
6.6
37.3
Augsburg
6
14
7
25
8.5
16.7
8.8
34.2
Stuttgart
5
17
5
20
7.8
19.5
6.7
30.1
Hannover
3
19
5
14
5.2
22.2
6.7
22.1
Nurnberg
3
17
7
16
4.3
21.2
8.5
21.4

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the German Bundesliga table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage and the sixth place team to Qualification of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team League Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Bayern Munich
79.2%
100%
0%
0%
Dortmund
20.8%
100%
0%
0%
RB Leipzig
0%
84.7%
13.6%
0%
B. Monchengladbach
0%
50.7%
37.9%
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0%
42.1%
43.9%
0%
Bayer Leverkusen
0%
12.7%
40.6%
0%
Wolfsburg
0%
4.5%
26.8%
0%
Hoffenheim
0%
3.7%
21.9%
0%
Werder Bremen
0%
1.6%
15%
0%
Hertha Berlin
0%
0%
0.3%
0%
Freiburg
0%
0%
0%
0.2%
Mainz
0%
0%
0%
1%
Dusseldorf
0%
0%
0%
0.6%
Schalke
0%
0%
0%
4.9%
Augsburg
0%
0%
0%
15.7%
Stuttgart
0%
0%
0%
77.8%
Hannover
0%
0%
0%
99.9%
Nurnberg
0%
0%
0%
99.9%