Germany Bundesliga Predictions


Using data from past seasons and competitions, we have generated computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future German Bundesliga games. The game and score predictions do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: Predictions Disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. If you do wish to try your luck on the gambling circuit, then I highly suggest reading my blog post: Sportsbook Reviews and Ratings.

Week 14 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/7 Dusseldorf Werder Bremen Werder Bremen to win: 72.6% Werder Bremen -265 2.26 2.97
Dusseldorf to win: 9.4% Dusseldorf +964 0.70
Odds to Draw: 18% Draw +456
12/8 Augsburg Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen to win: 60.1% Bayer Leverkusen -151 1.89 2.78
Augsburg to win: 15.8% Augsburg +533 0.88
Odds to Draw: 24.1% Draw +315
12/8 Nurnberg Bayern Munich Bayern Munich to win: 89.1% Bayern Munich -818 3.31 3.79
Nurnberg to win: 3.1% Nurnberg +3126 0.48
Odds to Draw: 7.8% Draw +1183
12/8 RB Leipzig Freiburg Freiburg to win: 23.6% Freiburg +324 1.09 2.73
RB Leipzig to win: 48.2% RB Leipzig +108 1.64
Odds to Draw: 28.2% Draw +255
12/8 Dortmund Schalke Schalke to win: 49.3% Schalke +103 1.72 2.82
Dortmund to win: 22.8% Dortmund +339 1.10
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259
12/8 Hoffenheim Wolfsburg Wolfsburg to win: 32.7% Wolfsburg +206 1.14 2.36
Hoffenheim to win: 37.4% Hoffenheim +168 1.22
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
12/8 Eintracht Frankfurt Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin to win: 50.2% Hertha Berlin -101 1.46 2.39
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 22.2% Eintracht Frankfurt +351 0.93
Odds to Draw: 27.6% Draw +263
12/9 Hannover Mainz Mainz to win: 54.4% Mainz -120 1.63 2.55
Hannover to win: 19.3% Hannover +419 0.91
Odds to Draw: 26.3% Draw +281
12/9 Stuttgart B. Monchengladbach B. Monchengladbach to win: 40% B. Monchengladbach +150 1.40 2.61
Stuttgart to win: 30.3% Stuttgart +231 1.20
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237

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Week 15 Bundesliga Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/14 Wolfsburg Nurnberg Nurnberg to win: 34.7% Nurnberg +189 1.14 2.29
Wolfsburg to win: 35.3% Wolfsburg +184 1.15
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
12/15 Schalke Augsburg Augsburg to win: 34% Augsburg +195 1.07 2.18
Schalke to win: 36% Schalke +178 1.10
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
12/15 Freiburg Dusseldorf Dusseldorf to win: 45.6% Dusseldorf +120 1.44 2.49
Freiburg to win: 25.6% Freiburg +291 1.04
Odds to Draw: 28.8% Draw +248
12/15 Bayern Munich Hannover Hannover to win: 8.8% Hannover +1037 0.71 3.18
Bayern Munich to win: 73.9% Bayern Munich -284 2.46
Odds to Draw: 17.3% Draw +479
12/15 B. Monchengladbach Hoffenheim Hoffenheim to win: 57.2% Hoffenheim -134 1.99 2.99
B. Monchengladbach to win: 17.5% B. Monchengladbach +472 1.00
Odds to Draw: 25.3% Draw +296
12/15 Hertha Berlin Stuttgart Stuttgart to win: 64.3% Stuttgart -181 1.95 2.75
Hertha Berlin to win: 13.5% Hertha Berlin +641 0.80
Odds to Draw: 22.2% Draw +351
12/15 Werder Bremen Dortmund Dortmund to win: 61% Dortmund -157 2.23 3.22
Werder Bremen to win: 15.3% Werder Bremen +554 0.99
Odds to Draw: 23.7% Draw +322
12/16 Mainz RB Leipzig RB Leipzig to win: 61.3% RB Leipzig -159 1.91 2.77
Mainz to win: 15.1% Mainz +563 0.86
Odds to Draw: 23.6% Draw +324
12/16 Bayer Leverkusen Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 33.7% Eintracht Frankfurt +197 1.15 2.35
Bayer Leverkusen to win: 36.3% Bayer Leverkusen +176 1.20
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234

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German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is the Germany Bundesliga table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 12/7/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Bayern Munich
7
3
3
24
22.6
5.2
6.2
74
Dortmund
10
0
3
33
21.7
5
7.3
72.3
B. Monchengladbach
8
3
2
26
16.8
10.4
6.8
57.2
RB Leipzig
7
2
4
25
15.2
9.9
8.9
54.5
Hoffenheim
6
4
3
21
14.6
11.7
7.7
51.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
7
4
2
23
14.2
12.6
7.2
49.8
Bayer Leverkusen
4
6
3
15
13.9
12.2
7.9
49.6
Schalke
4
7
2
14
13.5
13.5
7.1
47.5
Wolfsburg
5
5
3
18
12.8
13.1
8
46.5
Hertha Berlin
5
3
5
20
12
11.8
10.2
46.3
Werder Bremen
5
5
3
18
12.4
13.7
7.9
45.2
Mainz
5
5
3
18
12
14
8
43.9
Augsburg
3
6
4
13
10.4
14.2
9.3
40.6
Stuttgart
3
8
2
11
11
16
7
40
Freiburg
3
5
5
14
8.9
15.4
9.7
36.3
Hannover
2
8
3
9
8.4
17.6
8
33.2
Nurnberg
2
6
5
11
7
17.4
9.6
30.6
Dusseldorf
2
8
3
9
6.3
20
7.7
26.6

German Bundesliga Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the German Bundesliga table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage and the sixth place team to Qualification of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Bayern Munich
57.7%
100%
0%
0%
Dortmund
40.4%
99.1%
0.8%
0%
B. Monchengladbach
1.3%
62.4%
20.3%
0%
RB Leipzig
0.5%
44.9%
25.7%
0.2%
Hoffenheim
0.1%
27.8%
24.4%
0.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0%
16.9%
25.5%
0.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
0%
17.5%
22.6%
0.6%
Schalke
0%
8.5%
19.4%
2.2%
Wolfsburg
0%
5.7%
17.5%
2%
Hertha Berlin
0%
5.6%
14.4%
1.8%
Werder Bremen
0%
5.5%
12.5%
2.8%
Mainz
0%
3%
8%
3.6%
Augsburg
0%
1.6%
5.2%
12.7%
Stuttgart
0%
1.1%
2.8%
15.2%
Freiburg
0%
0.1%
0.6%
34.3%
Hannover
0%
0.2%
0.3%
56.2%
Nurnberg
0%
0.1%
0%
75.6%
Dusseldorf
0%
0%
0%
91.6%