Arminia at Mainz 05

Updated

Arminia Bielefeld

20.1%23.1%56.8%
Arminia WinDrawMainz 05 Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.79
0Final Score 4

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Arminia Bielefeld
Money Line
L 0-1 at Dortmund+825
L 1-0 vs Augsburg+150
L 0-3 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+675
W 0-1 vs Union Berlin+205
L 0-2 at Hoffenheim+625
Mainz 05
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Dortmund+260
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+180
W 2-3 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+207
T 1-1 at Freiburg+257
W 0-2 vs Hoffenheim+168

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arminia+400+550+600--+600+600+641.4
Mainz 05-140-205-190---190-190-174.4
Draw+265+340+300--+300+340+335.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arminia+475-+600-+440+640+640+641.4
Mainz 05-160--195--190-200-190-174.4
Draw+280-+302-+250+300+302+335.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arminia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arminia: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arminia: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arminia ML moved from +575 to +550
Mainz 05 ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arminia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arminia: 30.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arminia: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arminia ML
Mainz 05 ML moved from -185 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-112o2½-120--o2½-120o2½-112o2½-109
Underu2½-112u2½-108u2½+100--u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½-120o2½-120-o2½+110o2½-120o2½+110o2½-109
Underu2½-140u2½+100u2½+100-u2½-140u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-113 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+120 to o2½-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.34%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 415.29%
Exactly 63.88%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.49%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.44%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Arminia Bielefeld
Exactly 038.04%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.77%
Exactly 35.72%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 016.66%
Exactly 129.86%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.98%
Exactly 47.16%
Exactly 52.57%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.88%
Exactly 222.74%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 39.68%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arminia Bielefeld
Exactly 063.92%
Exactly 128.60%
Exactly 26.40%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 043.62%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.01%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arminia Bielefeld
Wins by 2+ goals6.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals32.24%
Wins by 3+ goals14.76%
Wins by 4+ goals5.55%
Wins by 5+ goals1.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Arminia Bielefeld
Mainz 05
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arminia Bielefeld
Wins by 1 goal13.20%
Wins by 2 goals5.08%
Wins by 3 goals1.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals17.48%
Wins by 3 goals9.21%
Wins by 4 goals3.81%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.66%6.34%
1.576.18%23.82%
2.552.06%47.94%
3.529.88%70.12%
4.514.59%85.41%
5.56.15%93.85%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Arminia Bielefeld Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.96%38.04%
1.525.19%74.81%
2.57.42%92.58%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.34%16.66%
1.553.48%46.52%
2.526.72%73.28%
3.510.74%89.26%
4.53.58%96.42%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.12%27.88%
1.536.51%63.49%
2.513.77%86.23%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arminia
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
6.34%
11.36%
10.18%
6.08%
2.72%
0.98%
1
6.13%
10.98%
9.84%
5.88%
2.63%
0.94%
2
2.96%
5.31%
4.75%
2.84%
1.27%
0.46%
3
0.95%
1.71%
1.53%
0.91%
0.41%
0.15%
4
0.23%
0.41%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Arminia Bielefeld
1-06.13%
2-02.96%
2-15.31%
3-00.95%
3-11.71%
3-21.53%
4-00.23%
4-10.41%
4-20.37%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.34%
1-110.98%
2-24.75%
3-30.91%
Mainz 05
0-111.36%
0-210.18%
1-29.84%
0-36.08%
1-35.88%
2-32.84%
0-42.72%
1-42.63%
2-41.27%
3-40.41%
0-50.98%
1-50.94%
2-50.46%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arminia
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
27.88%
23.13%
9.60%
2.65%
0.55%
1
12.48%
10.35%
4.29%
1.19%
0.25%
2
2.79%
2.32%
0.96%
0.27%
0.06%
3
0.42%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Arminia Bielefeld
1-012.48%
2-02.79%
2-12.32%
3-00.42%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.88%
1-110.35%
2-20.96%
Mainz 05
0-123.13%
0-29.60%
1-24.29%
0-32.65%
1-31.19%
2-30.27%
0-40.55%
1-40.25%