German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+295
+106
+315
-110
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-109
u2¼-103
o2½+115
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-750
+1700
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-122
u4-119
o4+105
u4-125
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		12.5%
71.2%		16.3%
+683
-285
+675
-310
1
1		-1.86291-1.86717-1.81345
Bayern Munich
Eintracht Frankfurt		55.2%
22.9%		21.8%
-180
+475
-190
+480
3
3		-1.62608-1.60390-1.52202
RB Leipzig
FC Heidenheim		58.6%
19.7%		21.7%
-142
+397
-150
+366
1
0		-0.55886-0.55951-0.53462
Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli		39.2%
35.1%		25.7%
+260
+120
+236
+115
3
0		-1.29880-1.25924-0.93698
Dortmund
Union Berlin		32.6%
41.8%		25.6%
+103
+280
+105
+271
1
2		-1.36070-1.35085-0.87225
Wolfsburg
VfL Bochum		33.0%
41.1%		25.9%
+125
+212
+125
+205
3
1		-0.83866-0.85264-1.10860
Freiburg
Werder Bremen		22.9%
54.4%		22.7%
+161
+172
+158
+170
1
0		-0.98752-0.98669-1.47421
Holstein Kiel
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		4.2%
87.6%		8.3%
+2248
-910
+2700
-1400
2
2		-2.51146-2.60993-2.49447
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		31.4%
43.8%		24.7%
+184
+147
+185
+138
1
2		-0.92758-0.90412-0.82456
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim		29.5%
46.6%		23.9%
+210
+140
+185
+135
4
3		-1.12704-1.09646-1.22241
Eintracht Frankfurt
Holstein Kiel		50.3%
26.8%		22.8%
-104
+320
-108
+275
4
2		-0.65400-0.70003-0.68701
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		19.9%
59.1%		20.9%
+385
-140
+375
-158
1
1		-1.53127-1.54825-1.56499
FC Heidenheim
Mainz 05		19.8%
58.4%		21.8%
+350
-115
+340
-105
2
0		-1.51750-1.50099-1.61838
Augsburg
RB Leipzig		10.2%
74.7%		15.1%
+550
-193
+507
-210
0
4		-0.41523-0.43872-0.29189
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		31.0%
43.9%		25.2%
+245
+120
+245
+115
0
1		-0.81040-0.80932-0.82378
VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg		44.3%
30.5%		25.2%
+110
+256
+110
+230
2
2		-1.38394-1.38047-1.37920
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.