German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim 		20.7%
58.6%		20.7%
+313
-131

1.17
2.11		3.28
o3-118
u3-102

Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt 		12.0%
71.9%		16.1%
+350
-143

0.97
2.57		3.54
o3-106
u3-112

Wolfsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach 		26.6%
49.8%		23.6%
+250
+101

1.21
1.74		2.95
o3-105
u3-108

FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli 		17.5%
62.3%		20.2%
+300
-103

1.03
2.12		3.15
o2¼-115
u2¼+104

FC Koln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		8.7%
77.9%		13.4%
+430
-186

0.86
2.84		3.70
o3-118
u3¼-125

Games for Dec 12, 2025
Games for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Dortmund		13.4%
69.9%		16.6%
+410
-154
+366
-155
0
2		-0.52712-0.54392-0.35796
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV		29.7%
46.3%		23.9%
+205
+140
+195
+136
2
3		-0.90686-0.90594-0.76936
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig		27.0%
49.6%		23.4%
+345
-127
+325
-135
0
6		-0.60732-0.59998-0.70199
FC St. Pauli
FC Koln		25.2%
51.9%		22.9%
+287
+107
+290
+100
1
1		-1.28168-1.30435-1.47491
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Augsburg		52.2%
24.7%		23.1%
+116
+256
+115
+280
0
2		-1.28743-1.31625-1.39938
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg		24.0%
51.8%		24.2%
+290
+108
+287
+120
1
3		-0.75341-0.79549-0.65778
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart		64.7%
16.3%		19.0%
-164
+405
-170
+440
5
0		-0.50979-0.47733-0.43584
Freiburg
FC Heidenheim		43.0%
30.9%		26.1%
-119
+400
-125
+395
1
2		-1.63342-1.63266-1.17419
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05		26.9%
49.7%		23.4%
+166
+180
+160
+170
1
0		-0.99693-0.99153-1.31200
Mainz 05
Freiburg		27.3%
48.3%		24.4%
+400
-134
+400
-130
0
4		-0.59068-0.60899-0.72774
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		14.7%
67.1%		18.2%
+280
-107
+270
-102
1
1		-1.41593-1.42995-1.70364
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV		47.8%
28.5%		23.7%
+150
+185
+140
+215
1
2		-1.08170-1.15179-1.25600
Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		28.7%
47.7%		23.6%
+155
+175
+160
+165
2
1		-0.97061-0.99823-1.24901
FC Koln
Werder Bremen		23.8%
53.9%		22.3%
+212
+123
+190
+125
1
1		-1.36266-1.40564-1.50112
FC St. Pauli
Bayern Munich		3.1%
90.1%		6.8%
+2300
-900
+2300
-950
1
3		-0.13946-0.14791-0.10413
FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin		21.7%
54.8%		23.5%
+525
-170
+525
-175
2
1		-1.86214-1.88092-1.52832
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71699 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.72493 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56366
0.15333
0.16127

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.