German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+290
+107
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-109
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-714
+1800
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-105
u3¾-105
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich		5.6%
83.9%		10.5%
+520
-199
+550
-215
0
2		-0.43094-0.39999-0.17527
Hoffenheim
Darmstadt 98		40.7%
34.3%		25.0%
-175
+405
-160
+370
6
0		-0.48388-0.52347-0.89934
Dortmund
Mainz 05		39.4%
35.3%		25.3%
+275
-106
+265
+115
0
3		-0.68082-0.74830-1.04112
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig		9.4%
76.4%		14.2%
+645
-247
+660
-290
1
1		-1.75446-1.81149-1.95059
Union Berlin
FC Koln		31.4%
42.9%		25.7%
+183
+162
+170
+170
2
3		-0.99190-1.03609-0.84700
FC Heidenheim
Freiburg		10.5%
73.4%		16.1%
+355
-133
+351
-135
1
1		-1.45423-1.43146-1.82455
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Monchengladbach		23.5%
54.8%		21.7%
+155
+172
+155
+161
1
1		-1.34788-1.34285-1.52841
VfB Stuttgart
Augsburg		31.5%
43.3%		25.2%
-128
+305
-130
+310
1
0		-0.60789-0.60728-1.15483
Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim		42.5%
31.7%		25.8%
+146
+201
+145
+188
1
1		-1.27690-1.28471-1.35421
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt		42.4%
32.7%		24.8%
+144
+194
+140
+200
5
1		-0.91862-0.90589-0.85713
VfL Bochum
Union Berlin		14.2%
67.0%		18.7%
+305
+102
+320
-105
4
3		-1.41828-1.47124-1.94919
Freiburg
FC Koln		36.0%
37.9%		26.1%
+193
+145
+190
+139
0
0		-1.33382-1.33128-1.34408
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart		65.8%
15.6%		18.5%
+160
+165
+190
+155
1
3		-0.99277-0.92299-1.85579
Borussia Monchengladbach
Werder Bremen		41.0%
34.0%		25.0%
+235
+115
+220
+120
2
2		-1.36924-1.34500-1.38790
Augsburg
Dortmund		12.4%
71.3%		16.3%
+243
+104
+240
+105
1
5		-0.73482-0.73491-0.33869
Darmstadt 98
Wolfsburg		19.5%
59.5%		21.0%
+864
-315
+850
-310
0
3		-0.30716-0.32281-0.51955
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.