German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen 		32.2%
43.8%		23.9%
+235
+118
+225
+119
1.39
1.65		3.04
o2½-120
u2¾-119
o2½-130
u2½+110
Union Berlin
Freiburg 		27.9%
47.2%		24.9%
+266
+116
+260
+115
1.16
1.59		2.75
o2¼-111
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-140
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 		32.9%
41.9%		25.2%
+163
+150
+173
+145
1.29
1.49		2.78
o3½-111
u3½-104
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Werder Bremen
Arminia Bielefeld		34.5%
38.5%		26.9%
+120
+265
+125
+260
2
0		-0.58778-0.53514-1.06343
Union Berlin
Arminia Bielefeld		38.5%
34.2%		27.3%
+100
+300
+100
+290
0
0		-3.20473-5.14131-1.29751
Werder Bremen
FC Koln		35.8%
39.2%		25.1%
+145
+220
+160
+226
1
1		-2.76923-3.15684-1.38322
Dortmund
Bayern Munich		20.2%
65.7%		14.1%
+450
-179
+430
-180
2
4		-0.24951-0.25735-0.42080
Augsburg
Hertha BSC		33.1%
42.5%		24.4%
+280
+115
+300
+115
1
2		-0.44838-0.43015-0.85545
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt		30.9%
46.5%		22.6%
+300
-112
+310
-110
1
1		-0.76155-0.76447-0.71382
RB Leipzig
Freiburg		54.8%
25.1%		20.2%
-147
+425
-150
+410
3
0		-0.29845-0.28277-0.60239
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim		39.6%
34.7%		25.8%
+161
+171
+158
+175
1
2		-0.71213-0.72557-1.05953
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		37.7%
36.6%		25.7%
+175
+154
+170
+160
1
0		-0.69890-0.77321-0.97615
Mainz 05
Schalke 04		36.0%
37.8%		26.2%
+121
+245
+120
+230
0
0		-0.71774-0.71356-0.69342
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		23.7%
57.5%		18.8%
+373
-122
+350
-125
2
1		-1.21056-1.30420-1.43906
Augsburg
Mainz 05		35.7%
38.6%		25.7%
+285
+106
+275
+105
1
0		-0.97186-0.99596-1.03027
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		38.8%
35.4%		25.8%
+170
+166
+195
+165
1
1		-4.05474-3.13960-1.35592
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig		28.9%
48.7%		22.4%
+467
-170
+440
-170
2
3		-0.24695-0.25784-0.71865
Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart		25.9%
53.8%		20.3%
+460
-175
+540
-185
1
5		-0.24733-0.21568-0.61969
Hertha BSC
Wolfsburg		24.4%
56.6%		19.0%
+330
-114
+375
-118
0
2		-0.36225-0.32855-0.56828
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06723 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08198 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.97833
0.08890
0.10365

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.