Freiburg at Holstein Kiel

Updated

Freiburg

52.3%22.9%24.8%
Freiburg WinDrawHolstein Kiel Win
1.82Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 1

Holstein Kiel

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+212
W 1-0 at Wolfsburg+190
W 2-3 vs Hoffenheim-110
W 2-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+205
L 4-1 vs Dortmund+220
Holstein Kiel
Money Line
W 3-1 at Augsburg+329
W 3-4 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+190
T 1-1 at RB Leipzig+600
L 2-1 vs FC St. Pauli+231
T 1-1 at Mainz 05+610

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+115+105+100+107+102+107+107+114.2
Holstein Kiel+210+244+240+250+241+250+250+262.2
Draw+280+282+285+276+274+276+285+289.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+110-+100-+100-105+100+114.2
Holstein Kiel+220-+240-+190+260+260+262.2
Draw+280-+287-+255+285+287+289.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 20.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +101 to -101
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +252 to +244

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 20.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +110 to -105
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +260 to +240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-107o3-105o3-106o3-106o3-106o3-105o3+104
Underu3-108u3-110u3-115u3-114u3-114u3-114u3-110u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-110o3-105-o3-125o3-105o3-105o3+104
Underu3+100u3-110u3-115-u3-105u3-115u3-105u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.3%
 
No41.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.91%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 416.88%
Exactly 65.11%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.79%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 016.11%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.34%
Exactly 47.46%
Exactly 52.72%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 030.46%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 38.53%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.77%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 311.22%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 042.94%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.34%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 057.67%
Exactly 131.74%
Exactly 28.74%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals29.32%
Wins by 3+ goals13.37%
Wins by 4+ goals5.03%
Wins by 5+ goals1.57%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals9.84%
Wins by 3+ goals3.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal22.91%
Wins by 2 goals15.95%
Wins by 3 goals8.34%
Wins by 4 goals3.45%
Wins by 5 goals1.18%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal14.92%
Wins by 2 goals6.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.09%4.91%
1.580.30%19.70%
2.558.01%41.99%
3.535.60%64.40%
4.518.72%81.28%
5.58.54%91.46%
6.53.42%96.58%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.89%16.11%
1.554.48%45.52%
2.527.63%72.37%
3.511.29%88.71%
4.53.83%96.17%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.54%30.46%
1.533.33%66.67%
2.511.81%88.19%
3.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.23%24.77%
1.540.67%59.33%
2.516.55%83.45%
3.55.32%94.68%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
Score01234
0
4.91%
5.83%
3.47%
1.37%
0.41%
1
8.96%
10.65%
6.33%
2.51%
0.75%
2
8.18%
9.72%
5.78%
2.29%
0.68%
3
4.98%
5.92%
3.52%
1.39%
0.41%
4
2.27%
2.70%
1.61%
0.64%
0.19%
5
0.83%
0.99%
0.59%
0.23%
0.07%
Freiburg
1-08.96%
2-08.18%
2-19.72%
3-04.98%
3-15.92%
3-23.52%
4-02.27%
4-12.70%
4-21.61%
4-30.64%
5-00.83%
5-10.99%
5-20.59%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-04.91%
1-110.65%
2-25.78%
3-31.39%
4-40.19%
Holstein Kiel
0-15.83%
0-23.47%
1-26.33%
0-31.37%
1-32.51%
2-32.29%
0-40.41%
1-40.75%
2-40.68%
3-40.41%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
Score0123
0
24.77%
13.63%
3.75%
0.69%
1
20.93%
11.52%
3.17%
0.58%
2
8.85%
4.87%
1.34%
0.25%
3
2.49%
1.37%
0.38%
0.07%
4
0.53%
0.29%
0.08%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-020.93%
2-08.85%
2-14.87%
3-02.49%
3-11.37%
3-20.38%
4-00.53%
4-10.29%
Draw
0-024.77%
1-111.52%
2-21.34%
Holstein Kiel
0-113.63%
0-23.75%
1-23.17%
0-30.69%
1-30.58%
2-30.25%