Sampdoria at Milan

Updated

Sampdoria

5.4%11.1%83.5%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.94
1Final Score 5

Milan

Last 5 Games

Sampdoria
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Empoli+255
L 0-2 at Udinese+575
L 2-0 vs Torino+355
L 0-5 at Fiorentina+820
T 1-1 vs Spezia+170
Milan
Money Line
L 0-2 at Spezia-120
W 0-2 vs Lazio-110
T 1-1 vs Cremonese-300
T 1-1 at Roma+185
W 0-2 vs Lecce-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+1481+1864+1900+2200+2093+2200+2200+2281.2
Milan-490-676-850-850-725-850-676-636.5
Draw+584+747+800+930+813+930+930+966.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+1500----+1750+1750+2281.2
Milan-535-----700-700-636.5
Draw+575----+700+700+966.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +2033 to +2005
Milan ML moved from -750 to -850

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +1500 to +1325
Milan ML moved from -650 to -700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3½+112o3¼-110o3¼-118o3-147o3¼-118o3¼-110o3¼-107
Underu3-116u3½-132u3¼-110u3¼-102u3+132u3¼-102u3½-132u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-130--o3-135o3-140o3-130o3¼-107
Underu3-115u3+110--u3+105u3+120u3+120u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-135
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.76%
Exactly 217.78%
Exactly 419.10%
Exactly 68.21%
Exactly 81.89%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.91%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 513.72%
Exactly 74.21%
Exactly 90.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 052.39%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 210.95%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 05.27%
Exactly 115.50%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.48%
Exactly 59.70%
Exactly 64.76%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 80.74%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.97%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 46.04%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 314.52%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 074.13%
Exactly 122.19%
Exactly 23.32%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 025.59%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals64.68%
Wins by 3+ goals43.09%
Wins by 4+ goals24.60%
Wins by 5+ goals12.11%
Wins by 6+ goals5.18%
Wins by 7+ goals1.92%
Wins by 8+ goals0.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sampdoria
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal4.10%
Wins by 2 goals1.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal18.73%
Wins by 2 goals21.59%
Wins by 3 goals18.49%
Wins by 4 goals12.49%
Wins by 5 goals6.93%
Wins by 6 goals3.26%
Wins by 7 goals1.32%
Wins by 8 goals0.47%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.24%2.76%
1.587.33%12.67%
2.569.55%30.45%
3.548.27%51.73%
4.529.17%70.83%
5.515.45%84.55%
6.57.25%92.75%
7.53.04%96.96%
8.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.61%52.39%
1.513.74%86.26%
2.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.73%5.27%
1.579.23%20.77%
2.556.41%43.59%
3.534.02%65.98%
4.517.54%82.46%
5.57.84%92.16%
6.53.08%96.92%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.03%18.97%
1.549.49%50.51%
2.523.29%76.71%
3.58.76%91.24%
4.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sampdoria
Milan
Score012345
0
2.76%
8.12%
11.96%
11.73%
8.63%
5.08%
1
1.78%
5.25%
7.73%
7.58%
5.58%
3.29%
2
0.58%
1.70%
2.50%
2.45%
1.80%
1.06%
3
0.12%
0.37%
0.54%
0.53%
0.39%
0.23%
Sampdoria
1-01.78%
2-00.58%
2-11.70%
3-00.12%
3-10.37%
3-20.54%
Draw
0-02.76%
1-15.25%
2-22.50%
3-30.53%
Milan
0-18.12%
0-211.96%
1-27.73%
0-311.73%
1-37.58%
2-32.45%
0-48.63%
1-45.58%
2-41.80%
3-40.39%
0-55.08%
1-53.29%
2-51.06%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Sampdoria
Milan
Score0123456
0
18.97%
25.86%
17.62%
8.01%
2.73%
0.74%
0.17%
1
5.68%
7.74%
5.27%
2.40%
0.82%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.85%
1.16%
0.79%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Sampdoria
1-05.68%
2-00.85%
2-11.16%
Draw
0-018.97%
1-17.74%
2-20.79%
Milan
0-125.86%
0-217.62%
1-25.27%
0-38.01%
1-32.40%
2-30.36%
0-42.73%
1-40.82%
2-40.12%
0-50.74%
1-50.22%
0-60.17%