Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Juventus
Napoli
26.8%
47.0%
26.2%
+225
+172
+220
+159
1.04
1.47
2.51
o2+111
u2-122
o2+100
u2-115
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bologna
Lazio
33.3%
39.5%
27.3%
+260
+134
+242
+145
1
1
-1.14762-1.14319-1.30001
Roma
Cagliari
55.2%
21.3%
23.5%
-144
+525
-154
+480
0
1
-1.86394-1.79890-1.54815
Lecce
Cremonese
29.2%
43.3%
27.4%
+260
+142
+245
+145
0
2
-0.90037-0.92589-0.83593
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
56.5%
21.0%
22.5%
-143
+500
-150
+467
1
3
-1.80655-1.77526-1.56084
Como
Inter
8.9%
75.8%
15.3%
+580
-177
+500
-180
0
4
-0.47173-0.48781-0.27702
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
38.8%
34.9%
26.3%
+170
+198
+165
+190
1
3
-1.11505-1.09880-1.05294
Cremonese
Bologna
9.0%
75.1%
15.9%
+605
-192
+595
-190
3
1
-1.98712-1.98086-2.40850
Napoli
Roma
35.1%
37.6%
27.2%
+218
+190
+210
+165
1
0
-1.18345-1.17633-1.04600
Fiorentina
Atalanta
15.3%
65.4%
19.3%
+495
-157
+480
-150
0
2
-0.52760-0.54578-0.42503
Inter
Pisa
77.8%
7.8%
14.3%
-370
+1100
-354
+975
2
0
-0.26933-0.29298-0.25087
Torino
Lecce
43.4%
29.2%
27.4%
+170
+215
+165
+225
1
2
-1.18303-1.20241-1.23052
Lazio
Milan
12.6%
69.1%
18.2%
+490
-148
+445
-150
0
1
-0.55071-0.55977-0.36954
Cagliari
Juventus
10.8%
71.2%
18.0%
+1300
-425
+1150
-400
1
2
-0.24552-0.26237-0.34030
Hellas Verona
Genoa
21.4%
54.3%
24.2%
+390
+106
+345
+105
1
2
-0.75647-0.75745-0.61041
Udinese
Parma
32.0%
40.4%
27.6%
+184
+186
+186
+170
2
0
-1.07831-1.09255-1.13937
Sassuolo
Como
19.5%
59.2%
21.3%
+380
-117
+370
-110
0
2
-0.64649-0.67272-0.52457
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.42962 
Sportsbooks41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.41081 
DRatings41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.31123
0.11839
0.09958

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.