Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Napoli
Empoli 		59.0%
18.8%		22.1%
-136
+410
-145
+387
1.89
0.96		2.85
o2¾-101
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Udinese
Hellas Verona 		27.9%
45.9%		26.1%
+208
+163
+200
+155
1.09
1.46		2.55
o2-146
u2¼-112
o2-145
u2+125
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Games for Apr 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Lecce		54.7%
21.9%		23.4%
+124
+300
+115
+320
0
0		-1.16552-1.15687-1.45192
Udinese
Sassuolo		35.6%
37.8%		26.6%
+168
+187
+165
+190
1
1		-1.22881-1.19726-1.32520
Hellas Verona
Cagliari		37.8%
34.2%		28.1%
+287
+120
+280
+115
1
1		-1.18613-1.20094-1.27026
Salernitana
Bologna		13.0%
68.3%		18.7%
+1200
-332
+1010
-350
0
3		-0.28486-0.28716-0.38176
Milan
Fiorentina		39.2%
33.1%		27.7%
+143
+207
+140
+200
2
1		-0.91464-0.92284-0.93578
Juventus
Lazio		36.4%
35.4%		28.2%
+143
+237
+145
+225
0
1		-1.24129-1.22044-1.03733
Monza
Torino		25.2%
49.0%		25.8%
+385
-110
+395
-120
0
1		-0.66629-0.65110-0.71313
Atalanta
Napoli		32.8%
41.5%		25.8%
+250
+116
+240
+120
3
0		-1.28114-1.25369-1.11517
Napoli
Inter		14.2%
66.4%		19.4%
+520
-174
+550
-190
1
1		-1.51199-1.50833-1.63928
Sassuolo
Roma		12.4%
70.6%		17.0%
+785
-237
+675
-239
0
1		-0.37134-0.39315-0.34780
Milan
Hellas Verona		56.4%
20.4%		23.2%
-160
+560
-160
+535
3
1		-0.49923-0.51121-0.57215
Genoa
Juventus		13.1%
67.0%		19.9%
+740
-195
+712
-215
0
0		-1.47832-1.47793-1.61525
Lazio
Frosinone		47.6%
26.5%		25.9%
+125
+245
+130
+220
3
2		-0.83400-0.87347-0.74148
Lecce
Salernitana		26.4%
47.9%		25.7%
+123
+261
+135
+263
1
0		-0.83007-0.86308-1.33128
Torino
Udinese		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+180
+204
+171
+200
2
0		-1.05105-1.03744-1.17419
Cagliari
Monza		15.0%
64.2%		20.8%
+302
+100
+290
+100
0
1		-0.71935-0.73999-0.44290
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10776 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.11764 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.33080
-0.22304
-0.21316

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.