Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Pisa
68.7%
13.0%
18.3%
-240
+812
-250
+790
3
0
-0.38161-0.35345-0.37513
Milan
Genoa
55.5%
20.6%
23.9%
-141
+445
-135
+440
2
1
-0.56725-0.57688-0.58922
Lazio
Roma
15.6%
64.2%
20.2%
+600
-180
+550
-198
0
2
-0.46537-0.44618-0.44309
Bologna
Napoli
15.8%
63.3%
20.9%
+575
-180
+570
-185
3
2
-1.93551-1.93794-1.84358
Atalanta
Milan
27.0%
49.4%
23.7%
+235
+131
+246
+130
3
2
-1.23670-1.26333-1.31004
Roma
Parma
60.8%
17.1%
22.0%
-235
+820
-247
+750
3
2
-0.38176-0.38572-0.49694
Genoa
Fiorentina
26.9%
48.4%
24.7%
+305
+105
+285
+109
0
0
-1.24164-1.23433-1.39901
Pisa
Cremonese
19.6%
55.5%
24.9%
+340
-108
+360
-122
0
3
-0.68322-0.64240-0.58890
Como
Hellas Verona
63.4%
13.9%
22.7%
-230
+740
-250
+670
1
0
-0.39387-0.37968-0.45637
Juventus
Lecce
65.2%
14.4%
20.4%
-235
+800
-240
+730
1
0
-0.38410-0.39113-0.42704
Inter
Lazio
54.6%
21.6%
23.8%
-120
+340
-120
+340
3
0
-0.64139-0.65177-0.60532
Udinese
Cagliari
33.6%
39.5%
26.9%
+208
+162
+204
+160
2
0
-1.15859-1.14737-1.09195
Sassuolo
Torino
33.1%
41.4%
25.4%
+205
+196
+165
+175
1
2
-1.05921-1.05912-0.88088
Fiorentina
Roma
18.1%
60.2%
21.7%
+580
-180
+525
-185
0
4
-0.46946-0.47828-0.50778
Lazio
Cremonese
53.5%
22.0%
24.5%
+144
+225
+140
+217
2
1
-0.92158-0.91359-0.62594
Parma
Inter
5.4%
83.1%
11.5%
+1400
-450
+1275
-500
0
2
-0.22801-0.23009-0.18544
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.