Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lecce
Cremonese 		29.2%
43.3%		27.4%
+257
+138
+230
+145
1.05
1.33		2.38
o2-125
u2¼-120
o2-112
u2-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Roma
Cagliari 		55.2%
21.3%		23.5%
-147
+505
-147
+475
1.75
0.99		2.74
o2¼-101
u2¼-110
o2-148
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Bologna
Lazio 		33.3%
39.5%		27.3%
+225
+150
+210
+151
1.16
1.29		2.45
o2¼+102
u2¼-111
o2-115
u2+110
Juventus
Napoli 		26.8%
47.0%		26.2%
+225
+159
+235
+145
1.04
1.47		2.51
o2+101
u2-112
o2-105
u2+100
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lecce
Lazio		9.5%
74.7%		15.8%
+455
-121
+465
-130
0
2		-0.63714-0.60875-0.29201
Roma
Cremonese		57.0%
19.7%		23.3%
-138
+488
-136
+480
3
1		-0.57613-0.55626-0.56259
Parma
Hellas Verona		28.4%
45.1%		26.4%
+315
+121
+261
+130
2
1		-1.45727-1.32261-1.25737
Atalanta
Napoli		20.9%
56.9%		22.1%
+252
+136
+220
+140
1
3		-0.89372-0.92591-0.56326
Juventus
Fiorentina		41.9%
30.4%		27.7%
+102
+320
+105
+287
1
1		-1.24012-1.26330-1.28460
Bologna
Udinese		39.6%
32.9%		27.5%
+162
+205
+160
+205
3
0		-0.99785-0.99506-0.92521
Lazio
Inter		9.2%
75.2%		15.6%
+950
-272
+900
-315
0
2		-0.32131-0.31575-0.28479
Udinese
Roma		14.4%
65.7%		19.9%
+625
-176
+620
-190
0
2		-0.47218-0.46302-0.42080
Napoli
Bologna		37.1%
35.6%		27.4%
+175
+204
+175
+210
0
2		-1.12794-1.15078-1.03370
Fiorentina
Genoa		32.9%
39.1%		27.9%
+184
+204
+185
+185
2
2		-1.11291-1.13314-1.27561
Sassuolo
Atalanta		11.0%
73.6%		15.4%
+602
-197
+600
-225
3
0		-1.96804-1.98850-2.20283
Milan
Parma		60.4%
17.9%		21.8%
-184
+610
-196
+625
2
2		-1.45792-1.44469-1.52441
Torino
Juventus		11.0%
70.4%		18.5%
+665
-191
+700
-210
0
0		-1.46907-1.45629-1.68751
Hellas Verona
Lecce		35.9%
35.8%		28.2%
+212
+185
+190
+185
0
0		-1.05541-1.08114-1.26461
Cremonese
Pisa		30.8%
41.5%		27.7%
+260
+139
+255
+143
0
1		-0.89612-0.91409-0.87957
Cagliari
Lazio		19.2%
58.0%		22.7%
+500
-154
+475
-147
0
2		-0.53256-0.55406-0.54392
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-2-0 (0.333)0-1.13111 
Sportsbooks31-2-0 (0.333)0-1.12062 
DRatings31-2-0 (0.333)0-0.96360
0.16751
0.15702

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.