Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cremonese
Torino 		13.4%
66.3%		20.3%
+341
+105
+340
+100
0.77
2.00		2.77
o2¼-105
u2¼-105
o2½+125
u2½-140
Lazio
Parma 		38.5%
34.0%		27.4%
+111
+285
+115
+270
1.26
1.17		2.43
o2¼+102
u2¼-114
o2-140
u2+120
Cagliari
Atalanta 		9.3%
75.7%		15.0%
+840
-280
+775
-300
0.79
2.57		3.36
o2¾-108
u2¾-105
o2½-140
u3-140
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fiorentina
Roma		21.1%
55.8%		23.2%
+425
-129
+400
-135
0
1		-0.59417-0.60161-0.58383
Atalanta
Monza		79.2%
7.5%		13.3%
-435
+1350
-488
+1275
4
0		-0.23153-0.22995-0.23298
Lazio
Empoli		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%
-117
+380
-115
+322
1
0		-0.64268-0.67051-0.68464
Hellas Verona
Inter		4.8%
84.5%		10.7%
+650
-215
+730
-225
0
1		-0.41465-0.39295-0.16805
Napoli
Lecce		67.1%
13.7%		19.2%
-190
+678
-210
+680
1
0		-0.43899-0.43781-0.39931
Udinese
Cagliari		34.4%
37.2%		28.4%
+230
+159
+235
+150
2
1		-1.22054-1.24029-1.06633
Venezia
Torino		18.9%
57.7%		23.4%
+225
+153
+235
+150
1
1		-1.15661-1.12998-1.45389
Parma
Lazio		11.6%
70.7%		17.6%
+815
-260
+800
-270
2
2		-1.67222-1.64948-1.73528
Cagliari
Hellas Verona		24.7%
50.0%		25.3%
+290
+145
+290
+144
2
0		-1.38878-1.39695-1.39845
Bologna
Udinese		35.2%
36.8%		28.0%
-127
+457
-125
+445
0
0		-1.28743-1.25639-1.27425
Lecce
Atalanta		5.1%
84.4%		10.4%
+1210
-379
+1100
-390
1
1		-1.87314-1.86427-2.26029
Torino
Napoli		10.7%
72.1%		17.2%
+875
-263
+850
-261
0
2		-0.35292-0.36241-0.32687
Monza
Juventus		4.5%
84.6%		10.9%
+1300
-460
+1300
-485
0
2		-0.22987-0.22990-0.16700
Roma
Inter		12.4%
69.4%		18.2%
+379
-132
+370
-130
1
0		-1.60008-1.59327-2.09062
Empoli
Fiorentina		12.4%
69.1%		18.5%
+325
+111
+335
+110
1
2		-0.76817-0.75562-0.37012
Milan
Venezia		56.9%
19.9%		23.1%
-155
+425
-150
+410
2
0		-0.52826-0.54720-0.56321
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.96693 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.94035 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67743
0.28950
0.26292

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.