Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 15, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Como
Roma 		15.3%
64.6%		20.1%
+269
+127
+280
+125
0.91
2.08		2.99
o2¼-101
u2¼-111
o2½+130
u2½-145
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cagliari
Hellas Verona		24.7%
50.0%		25.3%
+290
+145
+290
+144
2
0		-1.38878-1.39695-1.39845
Bologna
Udinese		35.2%
36.8%		28.0%
-127
+457
-125
+445
0
0		-1.28743-1.25639-1.27425
Lecce
Atalanta		5.1%
84.4%		10.4%
+1210
-379
+1100
-390
1
1		-1.87314-1.86427-2.26029
Torino
Napoli		10.7%
72.1%		17.2%
+875
-263
+850
-261
0
2		-0.35292-0.36241-0.32687
Monza
Juventus		4.5%
84.6%		10.9%
+1300
-460
+1300
-485
0
2		-0.22987-0.22990-0.16700
Roma
Inter		12.4%
69.4%		18.2%
+379
-132
+370
-130
1
0		-1.60008-1.59327-2.09062
Empoli
Fiorentina		12.4%
69.1%		18.5%
+325
+111
+335
+110
1
2		-0.76817-0.75562-0.37012
Milan
Venezia		56.9%
19.9%		23.1%
-155
+425
-150
+410
2
0		-0.52826-0.54720-0.56321
Juventus
Parma		54.0%
21.6%		24.5%
-136
+415
-145
+420
0
1		-1.66876-1.69489-1.53442
Lazio
Genoa		47.6%
26.4%		26.0%
+120
+285
+125
+282
2
0		-0.81489-0.83142-0.74282
Fiorentina
Cagliari		47.6%
26.6%		25.8%
+162
+207
+155
+200
2
1		-0.99271-0.97910-0.74290
Udinese
Torino		28.7%
44.0%		27.3%
+245
+152
+245
+140
0
2		-0.94407-0.91887-0.82196
Atalanta
Milan		35.4%
38.0%		26.6%
+165
+165
+165
+165
1
0		-1.00430-1.01033-1.03722
Inter
Bologna		46.1%
27.8%		26.0%
+133
+260
+140
+240
0
1		-1.30309-1.25660-1.27888
Venezia
Empoli		24.5%
50.1%		25.4%
+268
+135
+275
+135
2
2		-1.12877-1.11252-1.36991
Hellas Verona
Roma		10.5%
72.8%		16.7%
+540
-170
+600
-175
0
1		-0.49788-0.48080-0.31787
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-2-1 (0.500)0-1.19423 
Sportsbooks52-2-1 (0.500)0-1.17898 
DRatings51-3-1 (0.300)0-1.44965
-0.25542
-0.27068

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.