Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Lecce		65.0%
15.0%		20.0%
-132
+493
-133
+445
2
0		-0.58539-0.60391-0.43117
Bologna
Inter		12.7%
68.8%		18.5%
+745
-244
+700
-257
1
3		-0.37270-0.37257-0.37452
Torino
Hellas Verona		32.4%
39.6%		28.0%
+208
+180
+201
+175
3
0		-1.14892-1.14181-1.12775
Cremonese
Fiorentina		8.2%
76.6%		15.1%
+420
-133
+395
-135
0
1		-0.58663-0.60354-0.26648
Napoli
Lazio		42.7%
30.8%		26.5%
+121
+295
+130
+290
2
0		-0.82492-0.85179-0.85203
Roma
Atalanta		27.5%
47.9%		24.6%
+250
+136
+250
+130
0
1		-0.89018-0.87810-0.73653
Lecce
Juventus		5.5%
82.4%		12.1%
+1550
-410
+1300
-410
1
1		-1.83634-1.81880-2.11163
Parma
Sassuolo		23.4%
53.5%		23.1%
+315
+113
+315
+104
1
1		-1.19448-1.20587-1.46447
Udinese
Como		16.1%
62.8%		21.1%
+430
-125
+415
-135
0
1		-0.60956-0.59604-0.46596
Milan
Cagliari		61.2%
17.1%		21.6%
-169
+595
-160
+490
1
0		-0.49618-0.52916-0.49024
Genoa
Roma		12.0%
69.8%		18.2%
+600
-166
+560
-170
1
3		-0.50455-0.50933-0.35974
Inter
Atalanta		46.2%
28.0%		25.9%
+111
+261
+110
+252
1
0		-0.77427-0.77204-0.77303
Sassuolo
Bologna		17.9%
62.2%		19.9%
+320
+105
+320
+100
1
1		-1.22244-1.22343-1.61666
Napoli
Cremonese		70.5%
11.5%		17.9%
-169
+600
-180
+580
2
0		-0.49520-0.48711-0.34956
Hellas Verona
Milan		8.6%
76.9%		14.4%
+840
-258
+760
-265
0
3		-0.35426-0.36956-0.26243
Juventus
Pisa		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-210
+720
-220
+670
2
0		-0.41576-0.42088-0.36429
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.