Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 15, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Como
Roma 		15.3%
64.6%		20.1%
+269
+127
+280
+125
0.91
2.08		2.99
o2¼-101
u2¼-111
o2½+130
u2½-145
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Monza		77.2%
8.2%		14.6%
-295
+950
-310
+1000
1
0		-0.31882-0.31638-0.25925
Como
Lecce		44.7%
28.9%		26.3%
+112
+272
+105
+280
3
0		-0.78379-0.75786-0.80495
Empoli
Napoli		8.0%
77.5%		14.4%
+770
-227
+775
-240
0
3		-0.39398-0.37856-0.25440
Roma
Lazio		27.0%
47.7%		25.3%
+148
+228
+146
+215
1
1		-1.17267-1.18797-1.37441
Torino
Como		22.3%
53.2%		24.5%
+368
-117
+356
-115
0
1		-0.64789-0.65718-0.63047
Genoa
Hellas Verona		27.7%
45.7%		26.6%
+195
+201
+195
+195
0
0		-1.05757-1.04044-1.32287
Parma
Fiorentina		13.6%
67.4%		19.0%
+438
-134
+430
-140
0
0		-1.34661-1.34977-1.65973
Bologna
Atalanta		15.4%
65.2%		19.4%
+330
-104
+306
+115
0
2		-0.69367-0.77100-0.42774
Lecce
Juventus		7.2%
78.6%		14.2%
+925
-291
+1000
-297
1
2		-0.32893-0.32106-0.24117
Cagliari
Inter		4.1%
86.2%		9.7%
+950
-309
+985
-310
1
3		-0.31241-0.30923-0.14795
Monza
Venezia		15.6%
63.3%		21.1%
+392
-122
+380
-125
0
1		-0.62508-0.63618-0.45740
Milan
Udinese		40.2%
32.3%		27.4%
-109
+335
-110
+310
4
0		-0.67244-0.69485-0.91013
Napoli
Bologna		38.0%
34.6%		27.4%
+215
+170
+210
+170
1
1		-1.11957-1.10181-1.29634
Juventus
Roma		30.6%
41.9%		27.5%
+218
+152
+211
+155
1
1		-1.16918-1.16703-1.29109
Lazio
Atalanta		16.1%
64.2%		19.8%
+455
-143
+440
-145
1
0		-1.73228-1.71613-1.82921
Cagliari
Empoli		21.3%
54.6%		24.1%
+203
+168
+210
+159
0
0		-1.15015-1.15106-1.42371
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-2-1 (0.500)0-1.19423 
Sportsbooks52-2-1 (0.500)0-1.17898 
DRatings51-3-1 (0.300)0-1.44965
-0.25542
-0.27068

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.