Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cremonese
Lazio 		9.4%
74.2%		16.3%
+510
-164

0.71
2.37		3.08
o2½+102
u2½-115

Roma
Juventus 		23.2%
51.9%		25.0%
+290
+104

0.98
1.61		2.59
o2¼+105
u2¼-124

Games for Dec 19, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cagliari
Empoli		21.3%
54.6%		24.1%
+203
+168
+210
+159
0
0		-1.15015-1.15106-1.42371
Hellas Verona
Torino		18.8%
57.9%		23.2%
+430
-109
+440
-115
1
1		-1.18561-1.19521-1.46141
Venezia
Lecce		27.9%
45.7%		26.4%
+255
+140
+245
+130
1
1		-1.14103-1.16632-1.33112
Fiorentina
Milan		21.2%
55.5%		23.3%
+393
-123
+390
-130
2
2		-1.33272-1.34715-1.45616
Inter
Parma		72.0%
10.9%		17.2%
-216
+675
-224
+675
2
2		-1.57258-1.57171-1.76306
Como
Monza		58.5%
18.9%		22.6%
-144
+428
-140
+440
3
1		-0.55954-0.56687-0.53563
Udinese
Genoa		34.0%
37.4%		28.6%
+259
+145
+248
+150
0
1		-0.91594-0.94796-0.98449
Torino
Lazio		17.2%
60.8%		22.0%
+421
-125
+385
-115
1
1		-1.30589-1.28946-1.51531
Parma
Hellas Verona		28.9%
44.6%		26.5%
+180
+189
+205
+187
0
0		-1.14570-1.10821-1.32897
Milan
Napoli		19.2%
58.7%		22.1%
+312
-105
+310
-110
1
2		-0.70122-0.69485-0.53300
Udinese
Inter		5.9%
81.7%		12.4%
+750
-224
+775
-230
1
2		-0.39515-0.39395-0.20174
Atalanta
Fiorentina		43.8%
30.6%		25.6%
+113
+270
+105
+264
0
1		-1.33347-1.33907-1.18348
Monza
Cagliari		16.8%
61.4%		21.8%
+406
-125
+445
-140
0
3		-0.61828-0.58264-0.48758
Roma
Lecce		51.4%
24.0%		24.6%
-132
+425
-140
+450
1
0		-0.59680-0.58103-0.66649
Genoa
Juventus		9.3%
73.9%		16.8%
+695
-187
+690
-190
0
1		-0.45536-0.46031-0.30289
Bologna
Venezia		49.6%
25.1%		25.3%
-124
+425
-130
+420
1
0		-0.61297-0.61288-0.70136
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83956 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83041 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43711
0.40245
0.39330

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.