Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cremonese
Lazio 		9.4%
74.2%		16.3%
+510
-165

0.71
2.37		3.08
o2½-101
u2½-119

Roma
Juventus 		23.2%
51.9%		25.0%
+290
+104

0.98
1.61		2.59
o2¼+104
u2¼-124

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Empoli
Como		20.4%
56.4%		23.2%
+433
-130
+455
-130
1
1		-1.32118-1.30387-1.45994
Inter
Atalanta		35.7%
37.5%		26.8%
+188
+165
+185
+160
2
0		-1.08503-1.08960-1.03010
Juventus
Fiorentina		34.6%
36.9%		28.5%
+137
+242
+135
+240
0
3		-1.26093-1.27018-0.99658
Cagliari
Roma		9.8%
74.2%		16.1%
+650
-200
+610
-210
0
1		-0.43237-0.43905-0.29866
Lazio
Bologna		30.8%
42.6%		26.7%
+278
+137
+285
+130
0
5		-0.87928-0.85932-0.85442
Napoli
Venezia		69.9%
12.1%		18.0%
-206
+700
-190
+645
0
0		-1.48890-1.45303-1.71402
Empoli
Torino		20.5%
55.5%		24.0%
+380
-112
+390
-120
0
1		-0.66838-0.64886-0.58879
Como
Milan		14.1%
66.6%		19.3%
+360
-124
+360
-125
1
2		-0.61837-0.62663-0.40626
Hellas Verona
Udinese		15.6%
63.4%		21.0%
+420
-127
+420
-130
1
0		-1.68158-1.69097-1.85732
Parma
Monza		39.0%
33.2%		27.8%
+145
+212
+150
+205
1
1		-1.22513-1.21359-1.27959
Lecce
Genoa		24.3%
50.2%		25.5%
+345
+111
+325
+110
1
2		-0.77286-0.79116-0.68874
Udinese
Lazio		16.9%
61.6%		21.5%
+395
-117
+425
-120
1
1		-1.28957-1.29452-1.53507
Atalanta
Juventus		31.5%
41.9%		26.7%
+190
+172
+180
+175
4
0		-1.09715-1.07207-1.15617
Roma
Empoli		45.9%
28.0%		26.0%
+107
+318
+105
+320
1
0		-0.75438-0.75553-0.77812
Fiorentina
Napoli		13.5%
67.8%		18.7%
+585
-170
+600
-185
1
2		-0.49415-0.47630-0.38864
Bologna
Hellas Verona		48.1%
26.3%		25.6%
-131
+495
-130
+441
2
1		-0.58393-0.60969-0.73264
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83956 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83041 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43711
0.40245
0.39330

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.