Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cremonese
Lazio 		9.4%
74.2%		16.3%
+510
-161

0.71
2.37		3.08
o2½+102
u2½-114

Roma
Juventus 		23.2%
51.9%		25.0%
+295
+108

0.98
1.61		2.59
o2¼+108
u2¼-122

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monza
Inter		2.6%
90.4%		7.1%
+2000
-675
+1900
-715
2
3		-0.16986-0.17041-0.10132
Milan
Lecce		56.4%
20.5%		23.1%
-120
+385
-125
+370
3
2		-0.63070-0.63286-0.57355
Torino
Parma		39.9%
32.2%		27.9%
+130
+255
+130
+245
2
2		-1.20038-1.22122-1.27687
Hellas Verona
Juventus		7.6%
77.8%		14.6%
+928
-292
+900
-310
0
2		-0.32490-0.32511-0.25143
Lazio
Milan		22.0%
54.3%		23.7%
+249
+116
+255
+115
2
1		-1.28215-1.30295-1.51222
Como
Roma		18.6%
59.5%		21.8%
+320
+101
+325
+100
1
2		-0.72913-0.72639-0.51886
Cagliari
Bologna		16.7%
62.0%		21.3%
+465
-135
+469
-135
1
2		-0.57943-0.58571-0.47742
Empoli
Genoa		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+395
-107
+365
-110
1
1		-1.21564-1.21322-1.30741
Torino
Monza		46.7%
26.7%		26.6%
-108
+370
-105
+366
2
0		-0.68546-0.69842-0.76179
Parma
Udinese		16.5%
62.1%		21.4%
+340
-113
+350
-115
0
1		-0.66516-0.66376-0.47591
Inter
Napoli		40.1%
32.7%		27.2%
+152
+220
+150
+220
1
1		-1.16283-1.16587-1.30379
Venezia
Atalanta		6.2%
81.9%		11.8%
+1400
-475
+1400
-520
0
0		-1.99194-2.00523-2.13588
Lecce
Fiorentina		12.4%
69.2%		18.4%
+377
-107
+375
-115
0
1		-0.68464-0.65635-0.36863
Milan
Bologna		39.7%
33.1%		27.2%
+160
+195
+165
+181
1
2		-1.11261-1.07790-1.10682
Monza
Roma		7.3%
79.0%		13.7%
+1200
-375
+1000
-345
0
4		-0.26891-0.30143-0.23510
Juventus
Cagliari		56.0%
19.9%		24.1%
-114
+380
-115
+347
1
0		-0.65618-0.67708-0.57978
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83956 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83041 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43711
0.40245
0.39330

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.