Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+238
+143
+235
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼-102
u2¼-110
o2½+130
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+240
+130
+238
+130
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-106
u2¼-106
o2½+115
u2½-135
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
-101
+312
+100
+310
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼-114
u2¼+100
o2½+115
u2½-135
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Juventus
Napoli		29.6%
43.4%		27.0%
+258
+131
+240
+130
1
2		-0.85885-0.87347-0.83499
Bologna
Atalanta		9.5%
76.0%		14.5%
+295
+105
+280
+105
2
1		-1.39691-1.37500-2.35377
Lecce
Frosinone		24.8%
49.5%		25.6%
+235
+131
+223
+130
1
1		-1.24897-1.24026-1.36117
Cagliari
Empoli		24.6%
50.2%		25.2%
+241
+133
+250
+123
1
0		-1.24744-1.29375-1.40271
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona		27.8%
47.6%		24.6%
+217
+139
+209
+135
0
1		-0.89392-0.89678-0.74303
Fiorentina
Torino		32.7%
39.8%		27.5%
+214
+162
+215
+155
0
0		-1.14725-1.14069-1.29018
Roma
Monza		39.9%
32.8%		27.3%
+105
+295
+105
+285
4
1		-0.74497-0.76117-0.91982
Salernitana
Udinese		19.4%
57.5%		23.1%
+470
-144
+475
-155
1
1		-1.38274-1.35903-1.46495
Milan
Lazio		37.5%
35.0%		27.5%
+137
+238
+135
+225
1
0		-0.88807-0.89450-0.98134
Atalanta
Inter		18.4%
60.6%		21.0%
+485
-157
+460
-164
0
4		-0.51258-0.52467-0.50152
Napoli
Sassuolo		50.9%
25.4%		23.7%
-123
+367
-125
+333
6
1		-0.61367-0.62980-0.67539
Lazio
Fiorentina		28.1%
46.4%		25.6%
+270
+118
+261
+115
1
2		-0.80386-0.80616-0.76847
Torino
Roma		16.3%
62.7%		21.0%
+355
+100
+330
-102
2
3		-0.71842-0.72751-0.46619
Atalanta
Milan		28.4%
46.7%		25.0%
+214
+137
+200
+135
1
1		-1.28060-1.29638-1.38830
Inter
Lecce		73.9%
9.9%		16.2%
-193
+630
-210
+610
4
0		-0.44018-0.43905-0.30242
Napoli
Cagliari		62.9%
16.1%		21.0%
-125
+371
-129
+360
1
1		-1.37726-1.35806-1.55946
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.