Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+238
+144
+220
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼+100
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+250
+130
+238
+130
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-105
u2¼-108
o2½+125
u2½-135
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
-104
+330
+100
+310
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼-102
u2¼-111
o2½+130
u2½-135
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Frosinone
Juventus		7.5%
77.5%		15.0%
+1000
-305
+865
-320
2
3		-0.30313-0.31269-0.25472
Udinese
Genoa		20.6%
55.5%		23.9%
+247
+150
+240
+150
0
2		-0.93222-0.94887-0.58924
Monza
Salernitana		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+134
+240
+130
+234
2
0		-0.87798-0.87484-0.97098
Empoli
Sassuolo		19.8%
58.6%		21.6%
+245
+129
+239
+125
3
2		-1.26135-1.25804-1.62040
Hellas Verona
Bologna		18.0%
60.5%		21.5%
+580
-157
+550
-170
0
2		-0.50710-0.49860-0.50269
Lazio
Torino		34.5%
37.9%		27.5%
+198
+181
+200
+183
2
0		-1.12301-1.12396-1.06299
Milan
Monza		48.6%
25.6%		25.8%
-130
+435
-126
+390
2
4		-1.69925-1.62786-1.36156
Roma
Frosinone		52.1%
23.1%		24.8%
+105
+281
+103
+270
3
0		-0.73466-0.74423-0.65256
Cagliari
Udinese		17.7%
60.1%		22.2%
+348
-110
+340
-110
1
1		-1.31550-1.27848-1.50350
Fiorentina
Empoli		48.3%
26.2%		25.5%
+115
+280
+113
+270
1
1		-1.25428-1.25709-1.36696
Bologna
Lazio		21.1%
56.2%		22.6%
+230
+156
+231
+145
2
1		-1.21628-1.23131-1.55504
Sassuolo
Atalanta		7.9%
79.5%		12.5%
+830
-289
+825
-320
0
3		-0.31414-0.31787-0.22887
Juventus
Hellas Verona		55.1%
20.9%		24.0%
-139
+563
-140
+470
2
2		-1.29310-1.29631-1.42574
Genoa
Napoli		14.0%
66.4%		19.6%
+453
-133
+465
-137
1
1		-1.32002-1.33332-1.63066
Salernitana
Inter		4.2%
85.8%		10.0%
+2275
-782
+1850
-800
0
4		-0.14629-0.16168-0.15319
Lecce
Torino		15.9%
63.4%		20.7%
+405
-112
+400
-120
0
2		-0.65917-0.64495-0.45523
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.