Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Napoli 		10.1%
73.2%		16.7%
+562
-164
+565
-173
0.74
2.35		3.09
o2¼-104
u2¼-105
o2½+115
u2½-130
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Udinese
Bologna		25.6%
49.4%		25.0%
+320
+109
+330
+110
1
1		-1.21332-1.17328-1.38709
Torino
Milan		17.3%
60.7%		22.0%
+625
-192
+625
-205
2
2		-1.52161-1.51467-1.51577
Monza
Empoli		32.0%
40.5%		27.5%
+222
+151
+211
+155
0
0		-1.18440-1.17367-1.29124
Fiorentina
Parma		48.7%
25.9%		25.3%
+116
+266
+112
+260
1
1		-1.25991-1.26642-1.37302
Inter
Genoa		62.1%
16.4%		21.5%
-196
+640
-210
+625
2
2		-1.50589-1.50180-1.53707
Fiorentina
Atalanta		16.5%
63.7%		19.8%
+470
-177
+460
-176
3
2		-1.76820-1.76055-1.80442
Inter
Hellas Verona		62.3%
16.6%		21.1%
-231
+635
-225
+580
2
2		-1.70534-1.64807-1.55490
Udinese
Frosinone		37.8%
33.7%		28.5%
+213
+162
+200
+155
1
0		-1.15461-1.14263-0.97299
Sassuolo
Lazio		16.4%
64.2%		19.4%
+815
-295
+815
-320
1
1		-1.76428-1.76387-1.63948
Roma
Empoli		52.3%
23.5%		24.1%
+225
+125
+210
+125
1
2		-0.83310-0.85477-1.44719
Torino
Atalanta		15.8%
64.6%		19.6%
+190
+150
+175
+165
0
3		-0.93491-1.00092-0.43734
Monza
Juventus		11.0%
71.0%		18.0%
+500
-187
+475
-188
0
2		-0.46248-0.47427-0.34286
Bologna
Genoa		29.1%
44.6%		26.3%
+157
+199
+158
+215
0
2		-1.11972-1.16386-0.80710
Fiorentina
Cagliari		50.3%
24.5%		25.3%
-134
+400
-140
+379
3
2		-0.57987-0.58327-0.68756
Juventus
Bologna		47.8%
26.4%		25.8%
+183
+176
+185
+170
3
3		-1.18440-1.17432-1.35507
Genoa
Roma		12.4%
69.2%		18.4%
+670
-209
+615
-205
0
1		-0.40983-0.43094-0.36868
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.