Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+238
+144
+220
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼+100
u2¼-112
o2½+130
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+241
+134
+238
+130
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-105
u2¼-108
o2½+125
u2½-135
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
-104
+330
+100
+310
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼-102
u2¼-111
o2½+130
u2½-135
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Udinese
Juventus		11.3%
70.5%		18.2%
+775
-212
+770
-225
1
0		-2.18988-2.20138-2.17913
Napoli
Milan		26.1%
48.5%		25.4%
+315
-103
+295
-105
0
1		-0.70352-0.71885-0.72416
Atalanta
Genoa		48.8%
26.5%		24.7%
+104
+324
+100
+317
4
1		-0.73291-0.73509-0.71697
Hellas Verona
Monza		20.9%
55.5%		23.7%
+261
+130
+265
+128
0
0		-1.19796-1.17260-1.44160
Lecce
Bologna		16.6%
62.9%		20.5%
+535
-145
+499
-150
0
4		-0.53693-0.55092-0.46418
Frosinone
Fiorentina		12.7%
68.1%		19.1%
+525
-179
+505
-180
1
5		-0.46261-0.48174-0.38371
Torino
Sassuolo		32.4%
41.5%		26.1%
+131
+243
+125
+240
1
1		-1.22102-1.22387-1.34186
Inter
Roma		46.4%
27.8%		25.8%
-118
+365
-115
+350
4
2		-0.64006-0.66376-0.76770
Lazio
Cagliari		58.0%
19.4%		22.6%
+116
+276
+115
+272
3
1		-0.79718-0.80625-0.54474
Empoli
Salernitana		24.1%
50.8%		25.1%
+232
+145
+225
+140
3
1		-1.22159-1.21487-1.42234
Cagliari
Roma		7.8%
77.8%		14.3%
+648
-206
+675
-225
0
4		-0.41518-0.41275-0.25039
Juventus
Inter		16.6%
61.5%		21.9%
+423
-120
+400
-125
0
1		-0.62907-0.63626-0.48565
Lazio
Atalanta		17.8%
61.9%		20.3%
+301
+107
+293
+105
1
3		-0.75211-0.76213-0.48026
Hellas Verona
Napoli		9.4%
75.0%		15.6%
+665
-207
+703
-225
1
2		-0.42097-0.40605-0.28743
Salernitana
Torino		15.8%
63.0%		21.2%
+570
-168
+550
-175
0
0		-1.43083-1.40654-1.55296
Sassuolo
Bologna		22.1%
55.6%		22.2%
+505
-159
+500
-170
2
4		-0.51669-0.51089-0.58645
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.