Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+239
+142
+220
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼+100
u2¼-111
o2½+130
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+250
+130
+238
+130
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-105
u2¼-105
o2½+125
u2½-135
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
-102
+330
+100
+310
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+102
u2¼-114
o2½+130
u2½-135
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Milan
Frosinone		57.9%
18.8%		23.3%
-132
+369
-135
+350
3
2		-0.59381-0.59995-0.54619
Monza
Udinese		26.9%
46.9%		26.2%
+288
+115
+265
+118
0
0		-1.21520-1.23967-1.34086
Genoa
Empoli		43.9%
29.3%		26.8%
+188
+188
+180
+190
0
0		-1.11468-1.12193-1.31837
Fiorentina
Lecce		47.7%
26.8%		25.4%
+128
+265
+125
+265
2
3		-1.31572-1.32516-1.31554
Roma
Salernitana		54.4%
21.7%		23.9%
-139
+450
-145
+430
2
1		-0.55842-0.57063-0.60949
Inter
Fiorentina		52.9%
22.7%		24.4%
-113
+380
-115
+351
1
0		-0.65114-0.66717-0.63677
Napoli
Lazio		34.5%
38.5%		27.0%
+246
+138
+235
+135
0
0		-1.18460-1.16575-1.30819
Frosinone
Hellas Verona		22.6%
52.7%		24.7%
+250
+126
+244
+130
1
1		-1.24580-1.22203-1.39841
Sassuolo
Monza		24.2%
52.0%		23.8%
+265
+120
+255
+118
0
1		-0.80665-0.80914-0.65370
Lecce
Genoa		14.9%
64.9%		20.2%
+316
+117
+295
+115
1
2		-0.78834-0.81058-0.43299
Bologna
Milan		11.0%
72.0%		17.0%
+447
-135
+422
-140
2
2		-1.34147-1.35251-1.77260
Empoli
Juventus		6.2%
80.9%		12.9%
+1300
-360
+1200
-370
1
1		-1.79541-1.74968-2.04918
Udinese
Atalanta		11.0%
72.7%		16.3%
+600
-195
+557
-205
0
2		-0.43272-0.44519-0.31851
Torino
Cagliari		43.3%
29.4%		27.3%
+128
+280
+123
+272
2
1		-0.84420-0.84614-0.83790
Juventus
Lecce		61.7%
16.7%		21.6%
-124
+445
-125
+425
3
0		-0.61310-0.61904-0.48217
Genoa
Salernitana		38.6%
33.1%		28.3%
+154
+233
+145
+241
2
1		-0.94964-0.93026-0.89566
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.