Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+239
+144
+220
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼+101
u2¼-111
o2½+130
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+290
+122
+238
+130
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-105
u2¼-105
o2½+125
u2½-135
Overall Bet Value Active
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+116
+295
+100
+310
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+104
u2¼-115
o2½+130
u2½-135
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Games for Dec 27, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monza
Empoli		40.8%
31.7%		27.5%
+196
+168
+168
+170
0
3		-1.00433-1.03874-1.14734
Milan
Udinese		47.1%
26.9%		26.0%
-109
+335
-115
+320
3
2		-0.67103-0.67523-0.75358
Hellas Verona
Roma		11.8%
70.6%		17.6%
+720
-215
+700
-225
1
2		-0.40591-0.40414-0.34840
Sassuolo
Juventus		10.3%
73.8%		15.9%
+745
-239
+725
-264
0
3		-0.37106-0.37053-0.30415
Frosinone
Atalanta		7.2%
79.7%		13.1%
+725
-247
+700
-260
0
5		-0.36495-0.37157-0.22637
Roma
Milan		21.6%
54.9%		23.5%
+310
+115
+285
+110
1
3		-0.78110-0.78737-0.60006
Udinese
Fiorentina		19.0%
58.4%		22.6%
+520
-153
+461
-155
2
2		-1.38701-1.38306-1.48558
Bologna
Cagliari		39.4%
33.1%		27.4%
+154
+225
+145
+226
1
2		-1.20234-1.22360-1.10446
Inter
Monza		61.9%
16.6%		21.5%
-256
+800
-250
+750
5
1		-0.35722-0.36791-0.48018
Empoli
Hellas Verona		19.3%
58.2%		22.5%
+266
+119
+245
+120
1
2		-0.81013-0.83480-0.54202
Salernitana
Napoli		8.0%
77.6%		14.4%
+960
-311
+837
-310
1
2		-0.30859-0.32325-0.25372
Torino
Genoa		31.6%
40.5%		27.9%
+162
+230
+160
+218
0
0		-1.10975-1.10769-1.27669
Atalanta
Roma		33.5%
40.7%		25.8%
+260
+130
+240
+130
1
1		-1.18790-1.19932-1.35553
Juventus
Salernitana		59.2%
17.9%		22.9%
-195
+635
-205
+700
2
1		-0.43802-0.42921-0.52457
Lazio
Udinese		37.2%
35.3%		27.5%
+129
+261
+130
+244
2
1		-0.85158-0.87496-0.98918
Napoli
Torino		44.7%
28.9%		26.3%
+200
+168
+185
+165
0
3		-1.00849-1.01924-1.24084
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.