Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+235
+150
+221
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼-107
u2¼-108
o2½+130
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+285
+117
+272
+130
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-101
u2¼-109
o2½+125
u2½-135
Overall Bet Value Active
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+119
+290
+110
+310
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+109
u2¼-122
o2-130
u2½-135
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 27, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Milan
Empoli		63.3%
15.9%		20.8%
-151
+485
-155
+445
3
0		-0.52447-0.53247-0.45683
Fiorentina
Sassuolo		36.9%
36.5%		26.6%
+118
+250
+118
+225
0
1		-1.27100-1.22190-1.00879
Cagliari
Lecce		22.9%
52.5%		24.5%
+268
+124
+260
+125
1
1		-1.20421-1.18633-1.40560
Monza
Frosinone		35.7%
35.2%		29.1%
+193
+152
+175
+160
3
2		-1.10259-1.05901-1.03013
Hellas Verona
Inter		5.3%
83.5%		11.2%
+1500
-541
+1400
-610
1
2		-0.19553-0.19707-0.18035
Genoa
Bologna		24.2%
51.0%		24.7%
+276
+132
+325
+123
1
1		-1.13968-1.11553-1.39655
Roma
Juventus		20.4%
56.1%		23.5%
+322
+116
+309
+115
0
1		-0.79753-0.80645-0.57837
Salernitana
Hellas Verona		22.8%
52.7%		24.5%
+335
-108
+340
-110
1
0		-1.49821-1.52253-1.47973
Sassuolo
Milan		10.9%
72.9%		16.2%
+500
-191
+490
-195
0
1		-0.43998-0.45852-0.31631
Bologna
Udinese		31.0%
42.3%		26.7%
+133
+262
+125
+265
0
3		-1.31409-1.33492-0.85967
Empoli
Cagliari		27.3%
46.4%		26.3%
+283
+109
+270
+113
0
0		-1.29814-1.26755-1.33575
Lecce
Atalanta		7.8%
79.0%		13.2%
+820
-263
+810
-245
0
1		-0.34746-0.37500-0.23544
Frosinone
Lazio		8.2%
77.0%		14.8%
+530
-164
+474
-160
1
3		-0.49791-0.53368-0.26157
Inter
Genoa		66.9%
13.6%		19.6%
-151
+545
-160
+512
1
1		-1.34477-1.35623-1.63153
Monza
Napoli		10.6%
72.5%		16.9%
+500
-175
+482
-175
0
0		-1.52028-1.48948-1.77821
Torino
Fiorentina		22.9%
52.6%		24.6%
+289
+116
+280
+115
0
1		-0.80024-0.81018-0.64283
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.