Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+245
+140
+221
+145
1.13
1.56		2.69
o2¼-105
u2¼-105
o2½+125
u2½-145
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+290
+116
+290
+112
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-101
u2¼-109
o2½+125
u2½-135
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+118
+290
+115
+280
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+109
u2¼-120
o2-130
u2+115
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Roma		35.0%
37.8%		27.2%
+162
+209
+170
+190
0
2		-1.15366-1.10178-0.97368
Cagliari
Hellas Verona		18.4%
59.1%		22.4%
+222
+150
+215
+135
0
2		-0.93346-0.90296-0.52543
Lecce
Inter		4.9%
84.6%		10.5%
+1050
-332
+1125
-360
0
2		-0.28880-0.27557-0.16725
Udinese
Torino		24.6%
50.1%		25.3%
+531
-148
+510
-150
1
1		-1.35325-1.33397-1.37365
Atalanta
Bologna		44.3%
30.6%		25.0%
+180
+186
+176
+180
0
1		-1.08078-1.07081-1.18339
Milan
Salernitana		60.9%
17.1%		21.9%
-212
+630
-235
+650
2
2		-1.59312-1.60251-1.51690
Fiorentina
Monza		30.8%
41.9%		27.2%
+158
+195
+157
+190
1
0		-0.97607-0.98468-1.17668
Genoa
Sassuolo		22.1%
54.9%		23.0%
+210
+154
+215
+150
2
1		-1.15788-1.17225-1.50973
Lazio
Empoli		44.8%
29.3%		25.9%
-109
+377
-115
+350
2
0		-0.66376-0.66686-0.80272
Salernitana
Atalanta		7.2%
80.0%		12.8%
+1069
-361
+1000
-375
1
4		-0.26908-0.27598-0.22329
Inter
Lazio		59.5%
18.7%		21.9%
-109
+345
-108
+330
2
0		-0.67474-0.69223-0.51975
Roma
Bologna		35.5%
37.4%		27.0%
+252
+153
+230
+145
0
2		-0.94636-0.93966-0.98315
Sassuolo
Udinese		27.3%
48.2%		24.6%
+201
+151
+190
+145
2
2		-1.26691-1.29073-1.40421
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina		17.1%
61.5%		21.4%
+640
-200
+600
-210
0
1		-0.42448-0.42874-0.48636
Monza
Milan		11.1%
71.1%		17.7%
+515
-175
+475
-165
0
3		-0.47789-0.51061-0.34058
Empoli
Torino		14.3%
65.9%		19.8%
+540
-162
+550
-170
0
1		-0.50503-0.49860-0.41650
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.