Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monza
Inter 		2.4%
91.0%		6.6%
+1125
-420

0.49
3.52		4.01
o3+111
u3-130

Como
Udinese 		38.7%
33.5%		27.7%
-117
+350

1.24
1.14		2.38
o2½+121
u2½-140

Napoli
Genoa 		50.4%
24.5%		25.1%
-114
+382

1.59
1.03		2.62
o2-143
u2+123

Games for Aug 21, 2026
Games for Aug 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Milan
Parma		63.3%
15.9%		20.8%
-159
+485
-160
+425
1
2		-1.77851-1.70622-1.84187
Lazio
Udinese		34.6%
38.0%		27.5%
+134
+250
+125
+250
1
2		-1.27332-1.29927-0.96790
Como
Juventus		5.7%
82.2%		12.1%
+585
-180
+590
-200
0
3		-0.46302-0.45396-0.19542
Atalanta
Lecce		53.8%
23.3%		23.0%
+115
+272
+115
+250
4
0		-0.78898-0.81362-0.62057
Roma
Cagliari		50.6%
24.4%		25.0%
+111
+280
+100
+285
0
0		-1.28554-1.30137-1.38754
Venezia
Lazio		7.7%
78.1%		14.2%
+772
-235
+800
-266
1
3		-0.37666-0.35632-0.24727
Napoli
Hellas Verona		49.4%
25.6%		24.9%
-138
+455
-140
+410
0
3		-1.73875-1.67772-1.36195
Udinese
Bologna		25.6%
49.4%		25.0%
+320
+109
+330
+110
1
1		-1.21332-1.17328-1.38709
Torino
Milan		17.3%
60.7%		22.0%
+625
-192
+625
-205
2
2		-1.52161-1.51467-1.51577
Monza
Empoli		32.0%
40.5%		27.5%
+222
+151
+211
+155
0
0		-1.18440-1.17367-1.29124
Fiorentina
Parma		48.7%
25.9%		25.3%
+116
+266
+112
+260
1
1		-1.25991-1.26642-1.37302
Inter
Genoa		62.1%
16.4%		21.5%
-196
+640
-210
+625
2
2		-1.50589-1.50180-1.53707
Fiorentina
Atalanta		16.5%
63.7%		19.8%
+470
-177
+460
-176
3
2		-1.76820-1.76055-1.80442
Inter
Hellas Verona		62.3%
16.6%		21.1%
-231
+635
-225
+580
2
2		-1.70534-1.64807-1.55490
Udinese
Frosinone		37.8%
33.7%		28.5%
+213
+162
+200
+155
1
0		-1.15461-1.14263-0.97299
Sassuolo
Lazio		16.4%
64.2%		19.4%
+815
-295
+815
-320
1
1		-1.76428-1.76387-1.63948
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.