Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+290
+115
+280
+112
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-102
u2¼-109
o2½+115
u2½-135
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+118
+290
+115
+280
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+111
u2¼-122
o2-130
u2+110
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Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Torino
Sassuolo 		27.3%
47.5%		25.2%
+245
+141
+221
+145
2.69
o2¼-103
u2¼-108
o2½+125
u2½-145
1st H
45:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cagliari
Napoli		5.4%
83.2%		11.4%
+635
-240
+780
-255
1
2		-0.37507-0.34954-0.18408
Juventus
Genoa		53.0%
22.0%		25.0%
+106
+373
+110
+405
1
1		-1.12609-1.09491-1.38541
Sassuolo
Cagliari		34.8%
38.4%		26.8%
+187
+161
+180
+164
1
2		-0.98642-1.00038-0.95597
Fiorentina
Roma		19.1%
58.7%		22.2%
+335
-102
+310
+100
1
1		-1.28334-1.26111-1.50341
Bologna
Salernitana		41.9%
31.3%		26.8%
-118
+387
-120
+365
2
1		-0.63420-0.64747-0.87029
Genoa
Monza		22.0%
53.4%		24.6%
+277
+125
+275
+120
0
1		-0.83289-0.81694-0.62777
Udinese
Inter		7.4%
78.6%		13.9%
+1400
-425
+1200
-450
0
4		-0.23865-0.24301-0.24023
Milan
Atalanta		27.4%
47.8%		24.8%
+201
+155
+187
+155
2
3		-0.96048-0.98323-0.73762
Lazio
Hellas Verona		31.6%
42.0%		26.5%
-107
+355
-110
+326
1
1		-1.27701-1.27508-1.32935
Napoli
Juventus		28.1%
45.4%		26.5%
+254
+126
+245
+125
0
1		-0.83769-0.85299-0.78959
Atalanta
Torino		47.7%
27.4%		24.9%
+160
+207
+155
+195
0
3		-1.13956-1.12735-1.29372
Inter
Napoli		35.8%
36.4%		27.8%
+142
+203
+145
+187
3
0		-0.90840-0.94151-1.02650
Roma
Sassuolo		49.7%
26.3%		24.0%
+110
+265
+105
+265
2
1		-0.76361-0.75664-0.69923
Hellas Verona
Udinese		22.5%
53.3%		24.1%
+370
-118
+360
-120
3
3		-1.33037-1.32073-1.42138
Salernitana
Fiorentina		12.4%
69.0%		18.6%
+715
-230
+670
-240
0
3		-0.38449-0.39699-0.37092
Cagliari
Lazio		12.5%
69.1%		18.3%
+420
-141
+450
-140
0
1		-0.56611-0.55715-0.36938
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.08966 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07338 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23470
-0.14504
-0.16132

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.