Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+300
+112
+282
+110
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¼-104
u2¼-106
o2½+125
u2½-145
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+118
+285
+115
+280
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+111
u2¼-122
o2-130
u2+110
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cagliari
Lazio		12.5%
69.1%		18.3%
+420
-141
+450
-140
0
1		-0.56611-0.55715-0.36938
Empoli
Genoa		18.3%
59.3%		22.4%
+323
+102
+340
+105
1
1		-1.24901-1.21611-1.49575
Juventus
Monza		47.3%
26.1%		26.6%
-105
+351
-105
+330
2
1		-0.69173-0.71139-0.74896
Torino
Bologna		22.9%
52.9%		24.1%
+252
+139
+252
+135
0
2		-0.89607-0.89123-0.63588
Inter
Juventus		31.5%
40.7%		27.8%
+130
+255
+125
+243
1
1		-1.18954-1.21053-1.28006
Udinese
Roma		13.5%
67.5%		19.0%
+500
-152
+485
-155
1
3		-0.52829-0.54230-0.39368
Sassuolo
Empoli		33.7%
40.1%		26.1%
+170
+170
+160
+170
4
3		-1.01700-0.99937-1.08702
Monza
Cagliari		30.9%
41.5%		27.7%
+180
+173
+156
+185
1
1		-1.20932-1.22670-1.28439
Fiorentina
Milan		13.7%
66.8%		19.5%
+280
+115
+255
+110
0
1		-0.78761-0.79264-0.40396
Napoli
Atalanta		36.1%
37.4%		26.4%
+194
+155
+170
+170
2
1		-1.09626-1.02340-1.01763
Lazio
Salernitana		43.9%
29.7%		26.5%
-113
+367
-120
+345
1
2		-1.57108-1.53973-1.21513
Roma
Lazio		36.9%
35.9%		27.2%
+180
+200
+172
+200
0
0		-1.12215-1.12098-1.30023
Atalanta
Udinese		50.1%
25.7%		24.2%
+116
+265
+108
+265
1
1		-1.28540-1.29037-1.42018
Bologna
Fiorentina		23.0%
53.1%		23.9%
+305
+107
+265
+110
1
2		-0.74722-0.77562-0.63322
Empoli
Napoli		4.5%
85.4%		10.0%
+1050
-334
+1025
-400
1
0		-2.45620-2.46452-3.09092
Torino
Monza		33.6%
38.3%		28.1%
+178
+182
+180
+177
1
1		-1.17649-1.17131-1.26912
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.14822 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.12157 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.25538
-0.10716
-0.13382

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.