Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+119
+285
+115
+280
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+109
u2¼-120
o2-130
u2+110
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Games for Dec 27, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+300
+115
+282
+110
2.97
o2¼+101
u2¼-111
o2½+125
u2½-145
1st H
39:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cagliari
Juventus		6.0%
81.1%		12.9%
+745
-216
+700
-225
1
2		-0.40429-0.40414-0.20975
Hellas Verona
Genoa		28.3%
45.0%		26.6%
+437
-117
+410
-120
0
1		-0.64308-0.64798-0.79773
Salernitana
Sassuolo		20.5%
57.3%		22.1%
+375
-133
+365
-135
2
2		-1.43595-1.44388-1.50824
Sassuolo
Torino		22.4%
54.7%		22.9%
+282
+108
+280
+105
1
2		-0.76426-0.75545-0.60373
Juventus
Fiorentina		38.7%
33.1%		28.2%
+168
+190
+170
+185
1
0		-1.01583-1.02644-0.94894
Lecce
Roma		12.1%
70.3%		17.6%
+590
-174
+610
-190
1
2		-0.48360-0.47396-0.35271
Monza
Hellas Verona		17.6%
60.5%		21.9%
+153
+215
+145
+200
3
1		-0.95311-0.94868-1.73585
Udinese
Milan		9.6%
74.1%		16.3%
+725
-217
+685
-235
1
0		-2.13310-2.10570-2.34029
Inter
Atalanta		34.6%
39.1%		26.4%
+113
+263
+110
+255
2
1		-0.78244-0.78858-1.06259
Napoli
Salernitana		71.4%
11.2%		17.4%
-254
+730
-265
+700
2
0		-0.35829-0.36993-0.33640
Lazio
Bologna		39.6%
33.8%		26.6%
+188
+178
+185
+172
0
1		-1.05357-1.03598-1.08498
Fiorentina
Lazio		23.8%
52.1%		24.1%
+226
+135
+225
+125
0
1		-0.88303-0.85781-0.65137
Atalanta
Empoli		63.7%
16.4%		19.8%
-149
+415
-162
+430
3
0		-0.54371-0.52486-0.45034
Milan
Napoli		20.9%
55.7%		23.4%
+240
+127
+230
+125
2
2		-1.26256-1.26450-1.45440
Roma
Inter		14.5%
65.8%		19.7%
+578
-177
+510
-170
0
1		-0.47050-0.49489-0.41925
Udinese
Monza		33.0%
39.0%		28.0%
+270
+110
+275
+107
1
1		-1.27404-1.26670-1.27311
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.00761 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.97572 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.97678
0.03084
-0.00105

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.