Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+108
+305
+115
+280
1.53
1.13		2.66
o2¼+102
u2¼-112
o2-130
u2+125
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Games for Dec 27, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Udinese
Fiorentina 		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+300
+115
+282
+110
2.97
o2¼+101
u2¼-111
o2½+125
u2½-145
2nd H
90:00		1
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hellas Verona
Juventus		11.6%
70.2%		18.1%
+825
-256
+830
-275
0
1		-0.35856-0.35021-0.35348
Torino
Lecce		31.5%
41.4%		27.0%
+202
+174
+190
+176
1
0		-1.13423-1.10872-1.15376
Bologna
Sassuolo		31.2%
43.6%		25.2%
+181
+158
+162
+166
1
1		-1.27115-1.28475-1.37745
Salernitana
Genoa		22.6%
52.6%		24.8%
+411
-132
+430
-140
0
1		-0.59477-0.58254-0.64238
Empoli
Fiorentina		10.8%
72.3%		16.9%
+670
-228
+700
-246
2
0		-2.06791-2.11478-2.22535
Juventus
Milan		27.4%
45.8%		26.8%
+274
+118
+270
+115
1
0		-1.34780-1.34780-1.29507
Genoa
Atalanta		8.2%
77.9%		13.8%
+580
-185
+600
-195
0
2		-0.45531-0.45784-0.24913
Cagliari
Salernitana		29.7%
42.9%		27.4%
+235
+136
+225
+135
2
2		-1.21888-1.20344-1.29558
Monza
Roma		11.0%
71.9%		17.1%
+420
-134
+415
-145
0
1		-0.58521-0.57586-0.32962
Lazio
Sassuolo		41.5%
32.9%		25.5%
+152
+184
+150
+170
2
0		-0.95062-0.96703-0.87945
Inter
Torino		57.9%
19.2%		22.9%
-140
+450
-140
+425
3
0		-0.56692-0.57868-0.54707
Napoli
Hellas Verona		59.9%
18.3%		21.8%
-163
+495
-160
+490
3
1		-0.50402-0.50547-0.51294
Fiorentina
Napoli		10.5%
72.9%		16.6%
+475
-171
+460
-175
3
1		-1.77839-1.76411-2.25018
Roma
Cagliari		55.6%
20.8%		23.5%
-125
+415
-130
+410
4
1		-0.61491-0.61037-0.58666
Atalanta
Lazio		34.3%
39.9%		25.8%
+154
+200
+160
+194
2
3		-1.13274-1.11499-0.91990
Salernitana
Monza		18.8%
58.2%		23.0%
+405
-138
+415
-145
0
3		-0.57556-0.56606-0.54122
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.00761 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.97572 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.97678
0.03084
-0.00105

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.