Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+132
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-120
+370

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+100
u2¼-119

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+302
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-109
u2¼-109

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-204
+550

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½-101
u2½-117

Games for Dec 26, 2025
Games for Dec 28, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atalanta
Genoa 		46.4%
28.2%		25.4%
+108
+300
+110
+295
2.66
o2¼+102
u2¼-111
o2-145
u2+125
1st H
35:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Salernitana
Monza		18.8%
58.2%		23.0%
+405
-138
+415
-145
0
3		-0.57556-0.56606-0.54122
Milan
Genoa		57.6%
19.2%		23.1%
-105
+350
-107
+325
1
0		-0.69718-0.69709-0.55120
Torino
Juventus		10.4%
72.1%		17.4%
+335
+106
+325
+110
0
2		-0.75496-0.77046-0.32694
Bologna
Inter		6.8%
80.4%		12.8%
+940
-304
+825
-330
2
2		-1.77149-1.79018-2.05276
Sassuolo
Lecce		31.0%
43.7%		25.2%
+168
+170
+167
+165
1
1		-1.27115-1.28971-1.37690
Udinese
Empoli		37.2%
35.0%		27.9%
+165
+186
+150
+200
0
0		-1.23629-1.24873-1.27730
Cagliari
Fiorentina		9.2%
74.9%		15.9%
+550
-177
+610
-192
0
3		-0.47295-0.46067-0.28940
Hellas Verona
Torino		31.5%
41.3%		27.2%
+470
-132
+460
-130
0
0		-1.29273-1.26100-1.30291
Monza
Sassuolo		17.5%
61.8%		20.6%
+232
+110
+240
+102
1
0		-1.23323-1.26833-1.74148
Juventus
Atalanta		32.2%
41.2%		26.6%
+225
+143
+228
+140
0
0		-1.20521-1.18567-1.32599
Genoa
Udinese		16.9%
61.2%		21.9%
+260
+125
+255
+125
2
2		-1.22523-1.21621-1.51695
Empoli
Bologna		13.8%
67.3%		18.9%
+408
-137
+435
-145
0
3		-0.57576-0.56229-0.39592
Inter
Salernitana		74.6%
9.4%		16.0%
-240
+725
-245
+750
4
0		-0.37504-0.36970-0.29269
Lazio
Milan		18.1%
60.2%		21.7%
+405
-130
+400
-136
0
2		-0.59260-0.59323-0.50816
Napoli
Lecce		76.8%
8.6%		14.6%
-127
+415
-135
+403
4
0		-0.59742-0.59693-0.26377
Roma
Genoa		44.8%
28.7%		26.5%
+106
+322
+110
+305
1
4		-1.46495-1.44342-1.24716
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.02440 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.00002 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.84856
0.17584
0.15147

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.