Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+133
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-115

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
Games for Dec 28, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bologna
Hellas Verona		20.9%
56.1%		22.9%
+126
+236
+125
+244
0
0		-1.25741-1.22061-1.47251
Torino
Salernitana		33.9%
37.8%		28.3%
+120
+286
+120
+265
3
0		-0.81710-0.82771-1.08176
Empoli
Roma		8.2%
77.4%		14.3%
+820
-246
+785
-260
0
7		-0.36459-0.36276-0.25582
Atalanta
Fiorentina		38.5%
35.0%		26.4%
+168
+173
+163
+170
2
3		-1.03900-1.03699-1.04971
Udinese
Cagliari		38.3%
33.6%		28.1%
+161
+200
+160
+180
0
0		-1.19171-1.22693-1.26858
Napoli
Genoa		62.6%
16.3%		21.1%
-151
+500
-150
+445
2
2		-1.38537-1.40011-1.55580
Milan
Inter		23.2%
52.2%		24.7%
+260
+116
+245
+115
1
5		-0.80026-0.80932-0.65103
Lazio
Juventus		18.9%
58.4%		22.7%
+335
-106
+335
-110
1
3		-0.69025-0.68528-0.53732
Salernitana
Lecce		24.5%
50.5%		25.0%
+328
-101
+335
-110
0
2		-0.71797-0.69251-0.68231
Juventus
Empoli		70.4%
11.5%		18.1%
-155
+454
-161
+475
2
0		-0.52958-0.52010-0.35110
Genoa
Torino		25.2%
48.9%		25.9%
+312
+108
+295
+105
0
1		-0.75854-0.76535-0.71482
Fiorentina
Inter		11.8%
70.2%		17.9%
+388
-136
+385
-140
0
4		-0.58189-0.59034-0.35315
Lazio
Napoli		15.6%
64.5%		19.9%
+440
-152
+425
-155
2
1		-1.71641-1.69958-1.85598
Monza
Atalanta		8.2%
78.0%		13.8%
+390
-143
+400
-150
0
3		-0.56488-0.55042-0.24864
Cagliari
Bologna		22.9%
52.8%		24.3%
+385
-125
+375
-125
1
2		-0.61580-0.62349-0.63826
Milan
Roma		40.6%
32.2%		27.1%
+173
+188
+165
+194
2
1		-1.03877-1.00893-0.90103
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.