Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+133
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-104
u2¼-115

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+152
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+102
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sampdoria
Fiorentina		10.5%
73.1%		16.4%
+800
-284
+820
-305
0
5		-0.33020-0.33280-0.31341
Empoli
Sassuolo		19.2%
59.9%		20.9%
+278
+111
+290
-110
1
2		-0.76666-0.69589-0.51316
Salernitana
Napoli		4.7%
84.8%		10.5%
+1450
-490
+1225
-485
1
1		-2.01343-1.97350-2.25418
Hellas Verona
Cremonese		35.4%
36.2%		28.3%
+140
+245
+150
+200
1
1		-1.17331-1.19696-1.26135
Lazio
Inter		12.6%
69.8%		17.6%
+398
-118
+390
-130
1
3		-0.63732-0.62027-0.36021
Atalanta
Torino		39.9%
33.9%		26.2%
+135
+245
+135
+215
2
1		-0.87539-0.90387-0.91849
Milan
Roma		37.4%
35.5%		27.0%
+202
+180
+185
+175
1
1		-1.12670-1.13392-1.30807
Monza
Spezia		35.7%
36.3%		28.0%
+170
+178
+155
+180
2
0		-1.02583-0.98709-1.02910
Udinese
Lecce		38.3%
34.6%		27.1%
+289
+124
+250
+125
0
1		-0.82526-0.86232-1.06123
Roma
Atalanta		21.7%
56.6%		21.7%
+224
+145
+215
+140
1
3		-0.91664-0.92576-0.57004
Napoli
Juventus		34.6%
37.3%		28.0%
+165
+216
+150
+205
1
0		-0.99496-0.96551-1.06022
Lecce
Milan		7.5%
79.0%		13.5%
+675
-178
+630
-195
0
2		-0.46375-0.46388-0.23567
Cremonese
Udinese		12.3%
68.8%		18.9%
+412
-133
+390
-140
0
3		-0.58297-0.58834-0.37394
Fiorentina
Monza		41.1%
31.5%		27.3%
+116
+260
+115
+240
2
3		-1.31520-1.27576-1.15385
Inter
Empoli		69.0%
12.8%		18.2%
-161
+532
-180
+500
3
0		-0.49847-0.49109-0.37034
Spezia
Sampdoria		24.4%
51.4%		24.1%
+178
+182
+170
+170
1
1		-1.21113-1.22595-1.42238
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.