Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Monza
Inter 		2.4%
91.0%		6.6%
+1125
-420

0.49
3.52		4.01
o3+111
u3-130

Como
Udinese 		38.7%
33.5%		27.7%
-117
+350

1.24
1.14		2.38
o2½+121
u2½-140

Napoli
Genoa 		50.4%
24.5%		25.1%
-114
+382

1.59
1.03		2.62
o2-143
u2+123

Games for Aug 21, 2026
Games for Aug 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bologna
Udinese		31.0%
42.3%		26.7%
+133
+262
+125
+265
0
3		-1.31409-1.33492-0.85967
Empoli
Cagliari		27.3%
46.4%		26.3%
+283
+109
+270
+113
0
0		-1.29814-1.26755-1.33575
Lecce
Atalanta		7.8%
79.0%		13.2%
+820
-263
+810
-245
0
1		-0.34746-0.37500-0.23544
Frosinone
Lazio		8.2%
77.0%		14.8%
+530
-164
+474
-160
1
3		-0.49791-0.53368-0.26157
Inter
Genoa		66.9%
13.6%		19.6%
-151
+545
-160
+512
1
1		-1.34477-1.35623-1.63153
Monza
Napoli		10.6%
72.5%		16.9%
+500
-175
+482
-175
0
0		-1.52028-1.48948-1.77821
Torino
Fiorentina		22.9%
52.6%		24.6%
+289
+116
+280
+115
0
1		-0.80024-0.81018-0.64283
Napoli
Roma		35.0%
37.8%		27.2%
+162
+209
+170
+190
0
2		-1.15366-1.10178-0.97368
Cagliari
Hellas Verona		18.4%
59.1%		22.4%
+222
+150
+215
+135
0
2		-0.93346-0.90296-0.52543
Lecce
Inter		4.9%
84.6%		10.5%
+1050
-332
+1125
-360
0
2		-0.28880-0.27557-0.16725
Udinese
Torino		24.6%
50.1%		25.3%
+531
-148
+510
-150
1
1		-1.35325-1.33397-1.37365
Atalanta
Bologna		44.3%
30.6%		25.0%
+180
+186
+176
+180
0
1		-1.08078-1.07081-1.18339
Milan
Salernitana		60.9%
17.1%		21.9%
-212
+630
-235
+650
2
2		-1.59312-1.60251-1.51690
Fiorentina
Monza		30.8%
41.9%		27.2%
+158
+195
+157
+190
1
0		-0.97607-0.98468-1.17668
Genoa
Sassuolo		22.1%
54.9%		23.0%
+210
+154
+215
+150
2
1		-1.15788-1.17225-1.50973
Lazio
Empoli		44.8%
29.3%		25.9%
-109
+377
-115
+350
2
0		-0.66376-0.66686-0.80272
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.