Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+134
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-102
u2¼-110

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+154
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+106
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
Games for Dec 28, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Torino
Lazio		19.2%
59.1%		21.7%
+387
-107
+365
-115
1
0		-1.60365-1.58851-1.64865
Sassuolo
Salernitana		41.1%
32.6%		26.3%
+124
+233
+125
+210
0
3		-1.22200-1.18280-1.12163
Bologna
Hellas Verona		31.2%
42.8%		26.0%
+196
+190
+185
+170
1
2		-1.07949-1.04120-0.84933
Atalanta
Fiorentina		34.3%
39.5%		26.1%
+211
+140
+205
+135
1
1		-1.27225-1.25956-1.34182
Udinese
Roma		20.4%
57.2%		22.4%
+428
-110
+380
-115
0
3		-0.66273-0.67537-0.55893
Juventus
Sassuolo		46.7%
28.1%		25.1%
+127
+243
+120
+230
0
1		-1.25180-1.24434-1.26833
Salernitana
Torino		13.1%
67.5%		19.4%
+544
-157
+515
-160
1
1		-1.37753-1.35545-1.64160
Sampdoria
Lecce		21.0%
56.4%		22.5%
+478
-132
+430
-125
1
1		-1.29033-1.27189-1.49174
Monza
Inter		5.9%
81.8%		12.3%
+680
-220
+685
-250
1
0		-2.08667-2.10727-2.83242
Hellas Verona
Napoli		6.7%
80.8%		12.5%
+671
-195
+650
-200
0
0		-1.46348-1.43506-2.07681
Milan
Bologna		51.0%
24.7%		24.3%
+185
+188
+175
+185
1
1		-1.14523-1.13392-1.41284
Lazio
Spezia		58.4%
19.9%		21.7%
-123
+402
-120
+370
3
0		-0.61509-0.64527-0.53839
Empoli
Cremonese		32.3%
40.1%		27.6%
+255
+130
+235
+135
0
1		-0.83921-0.87671-0.91362
Juventus
Lazio		32.9%
40.2%		26.9%
+187
+197
+190
+175
1
2		-1.11240-1.06352-0.91021
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona		35.4%
38.5%		26.0%
+213
+148
+195
+145
1
2		-0.92667-0.94505-0.95378
Roma
Torino		33.8%
39.4%		26.8%
+155
+242
+145
+245
1
0		-0.95711-0.94384-1.08424
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.