Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+134
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-102
u2¼-110

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+154
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+106
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
Games for Dec 28, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bologna
Atalanta		14.5%
67.2%		18.2%
+470
-146
+440
-155
2
0		-1.75921-1.73778-1.92875
Cremonese
Sampdoria		31.1%
41.6%		27.3%
+246
+130
+215
+135
3
2		-1.26595-1.19683-1.16938
Spezia
Fiorentina		8.5%
77.0%		14.5%
+750
-230
+650
-235
1
1		-1.60779-1.57692-1.93109
Monza
Udinese		17.8%
59.8%		22.4%
+330
-105
+310
-110
2
2		-1.28276-1.30482-1.49745
Empoli
Milan		6.4%
81.1%		12.5%
+863
-250
+830
-290
0
0		-1.61119-1.65931-2.08249
Napoli
Lecce		66.4%
14.6%		19.0%
-144
+540
-150
+480
2
1		-0.54390-0.55979-0.40940
Inter
Salernitana		73.2%
10.0%		16.8%
-180
+561
-190
+525
1
1		-1.49928-1.50521-1.78671
Torino
Sassuolo		30.0%
44.8%		25.2%
+210
+157
+200
+145
1
1		-1.20855-1.22670-1.37710
Lecce
Empoli		28.9%
45.8%		25.3%
+211
+173
+195
+165
0
1		-1.02418-1.02304-0.78137
Milan
Napoli		22.7%
53.5%		23.8%
+345
+100
+320
+100
4
0		-1.50738-1.48444-1.48360
Sampdoria
Roma		9.3%
75.8%		14.8%
+1016
-275
+950
-290
0
3		-0.32862-0.33827-0.27645
Lazio
Monza		45.6%
28.6%		25.8%
+115
+290
+115
+270
2
0		-0.78972-0.81225-0.78599
Salernitana
Spezia		28.1%
45.8%		26.2%
+229
+147
+220
+135
1
1		-1.19505-1.21244-1.34071
Udinese
Bologna		31.8%
41.8%		26.4%
+250
+130
+240
+120
0
3		-0.85174-0.83884-0.87254
Hellas Verona
Juventus		8.5%
76.4%		15.1%
+665
-170
+625
-185
0
1		-0.47355-0.48112-0.26860
Fiorentina
Inter		12.3%
69.5%		18.1%
+384
-118
+350
-120
1
0		-1.58792-1.55225-2.09443
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.