Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fiorentina
Parma 		42.1%
31.0%		26.9%
+134
+258

1.36
1.13		2.49
o2¼-102
u2¼-110

Como
Lecce 		48.8%
25.9%		25.3%
-124
+380

1.56
1.06		2.62
o2¼+103
u2¼-116

Cagliari
Torino 		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+305
-102

0.94
1.65		2.59
o2¼-106
u2¼-106

Lazio
Udinese 		39.8%
32.7%		27.5%
+154
+210

1.29
1.13		2.42
o2¼+106
u2¼-117

Juventus
Pisa 		69.5%
11.9%		18.7%
-207
+575

2.16
0.76		2.92
o2½+100
u2½-112

Games for Dec 26, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atalanta
Cremonese		50.9%
24.8%		24.3%
-171
+560
-160
+425
3
1		-0.48366-0.53695-0.67592
Juventus
Inter		17.0%
61.1%		21.9%
+325
+106
+300
+100
1
0		-1.46599-1.43368-1.77178
Roma
Lazio		25.8%
50.4%		23.7%
+183
+216
+170
+215
0
1		-1.17105-1.19759-0.68445
Napoli
Torino		52.9%
23.1%		24.1%
-122
+425
-125
+380
4
0		-0.62014-0.64014-0.63758
Lecce
Fiorentina		12.2%
70.2%		17.6%
+566
-164
+510
-165
0
1		-0.50411-0.52232-0.35405
Hellas Verona
Sampdoria		31.3%
42.4%		26.3%
+166
+215
+150
+195
1
3		-1.16325-1.13202-0.85720
Milan
Udinese		46.7%
27.3%		26.0%
+113
+295
+110
+260
1
3		-1.37884-1.33207-1.29843
Bologna
Salernitana		39.0%
33.6%		27.4%
+130
+256
+120
+260
2
2		-1.19528-1.20701-1.29339
Cremonese
Monza		23.8%
50.2%		26.0%
+325
+100
+350
-110
1
1		-1.25278-1.24181-1.34892
Empoli
Atalanta		9.8%
75.3%		14.9%
+675
-227
+600
-245
1
2		-0.38603-0.39393-0.28309
Spezia
Sassuolo		13.8%
68.4%		17.8%
+377
-126
+350
-130
0
1		-0.60437-0.61990-0.37933
Salernitana
Milan		5.6%
82.4%		12.0%
+1200
-386
+1200
-425
1
1		-1.89779-1.85745-2.11893
Sampdoria
Juventus		6.8%
79.9%		13.3%
+969
-265
+1000
-300
2
4		-0.34075-0.33784-0.22459
Sassuolo
Roma		17.1%
63.4%		19.5%
+445
-131
+450
-145
4
3		-1.71769-1.75493-1.76638
Monza
Hellas Verona		28.8%
44.8%		26.4%
+212
+155
+200
+155
1
1		-1.17267-1.16709-1.33173
Fiorentina
Cremonese		47.1%
26.7%		26.3%
-128
+402
-130
+360
2
0		-0.59946-0.62207-0.75394
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.93813 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.92798 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.82162
0.11652
0.10636

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.