Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monza
Inter 		2.4%
91.0%		6.6%
+1125
-420

0.49
3.52		4.01
o3+111
u3-130

Como
Udinese 		38.7%
33.5%		27.7%
-117
+350

1.24
1.14		2.38
o2½+121
u2½-140

Napoli
Genoa 		50.4%
24.5%		25.1%
-114
+382

1.59
1.03		2.62
o2-143
u2+123

Games for Aug 21, 2026
Games for Aug 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lazio
Salernitana		43.9%
29.7%		26.5%
-113
+367
-120
+345
1
2		-1.57108-1.53973-1.21513
Roma
Lazio		36.9%
35.9%		27.2%
+180
+200
+172
+200
0
0		-1.12215-1.12098-1.30023
Atalanta
Udinese		50.1%
25.7%		24.2%
+116
+265
+108
+265
1
1		-1.28540-1.29037-1.42018
Bologna
Fiorentina		23.0%
53.1%		23.9%
+305
+107
+265
+110
1
2		-0.74722-0.77562-0.63322
Empoli
Napoli		4.5%
85.4%		10.0%
+1050
-334
+1025
-400
1
0		-2.45620-2.46452-3.09092
Torino
Monza		33.6%
38.3%		28.1%
+178
+182
+180
+177
1
1		-1.17649-1.17131-1.26912
Cagliari
Juventus		6.0%
81.1%		12.9%
+745
-216
+700
-225
1
2		-0.40429-0.40414-0.20975
Hellas Verona
Genoa		28.3%
45.0%		26.6%
+437
-117
+410
-120
0
1		-0.64308-0.64798-0.79773
Salernitana
Sassuolo		20.5%
57.3%		22.1%
+375
-133
+365
-135
2
2		-1.43595-1.44388-1.50824
Sassuolo
Torino		22.4%
54.7%		22.9%
+282
+108
+280
+105
1
2		-0.76426-0.75545-0.60373
Juventus
Fiorentina		38.7%
33.1%		28.2%
+168
+190
+170
+185
1
0		-1.01583-1.02644-0.94894
Lecce
Roma		12.1%
70.3%		17.6%
+590
-174
+610
-190
1
2		-0.48360-0.47396-0.35271
Monza
Hellas Verona		17.6%
60.5%		21.9%
+153
+215
+145
+200
3
1		-0.95311-0.94868-1.73585
Udinese
Milan		9.6%
74.1%		16.3%
+725
-217
+685
-235
1
0		-2.13310-2.10570-2.34029
Inter
Atalanta		34.6%
39.1%		26.4%
+113
+263
+110
+255
2
1		-0.78244-0.78858-1.06259
Napoli
Salernitana		71.4%
11.2%		17.4%
-254
+730
-265
+700
2
0		-0.35829-0.36993-0.33640
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.