Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Udinese
Bologna		18.8%
60.2%		21.0%
+360
-109
+350
-115
0
1		-0.67936-0.67160-0.50815
Pisa
Fiorentina		11.6%
71.6%		16.9%
+510
-159
+490
-159
0
1		-0.50653-0.52077-0.33463
Cremonese
Roma		6.9%
80.0%		13.0%
+1048
-300
+960
-310
0
3		-0.31490-0.32145-0.22297
Parma
Milan		7.4%
79.1%		13.6%
+975
-310
+950
-325
1
0		-2.40252-2.39382-2.60993
Napoli
Atalanta		30.2%
44.4%		25.3%
+235
+150
+222
+150
1
2		-0.94338-0.95925-0.81157
Torino
Genoa		28.4%
44.7%		26.9%
+290
+133
+265
+129
0
3		-0.87015-0.87160-0.80551
Lazio
Cagliari		39.5%
32.9%		27.6%
+156
+250
+150
+240
0
0		-1.08108-1.14797-1.28649
Inter
Lecce		73.5%
10.2%		16.3%
-205
+670
-215
+675
2
0		-0.43128-0.43041-0.30774
Como
Juventus		22.2%
54.8%		23.0%
+275
+115
+270
+110
2
0		-1.34904-1.34811-1.50679
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo		21.3%
56.3%		22.4%
+440
-120
+450
-130
0
3		-0.62235-0.61508-0.57501
Como
Milan		20.5%
58.1%		21.3%
+228
+158
+220
+155
1
1		-1.11505-1.14712-1.54435
Lecce
Cagliari		24.3%
51.3%		24.3%
+260
+144
+246
+140
2
0		-1.31171-1.29055-1.41408
Roma
Napoli		28.6%
46.4%		25.0%
+255
+158
+235
+155
2
2		-1.06033-1.09497-1.38454
Bologna
Torino		41.5%
31.0%		27.5%
+154
+220
+140
+220
2
1		-0.95262-0.91722-0.87849
Genoa
Cremonese		41.8%
30.6%		27.6%
+148
+252
+150
+255
0
0		-1.10549-1.09088-1.28699
Hellas Verona
Parma		30.1%
44.0%		25.9%
+290
+128
+270
+132
1
2		-0.85649-0.88668-0.82107
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.